Charting the BRIC countries’ connection of political stability, economic growth, demographics, renewables and CO2 emissions

IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Simona-Vasilica Oprea, Irina Alexandra Georgescu, Adela Bâra
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Abstract

This research examines the impact of economic policy uncertainty, GDP, population and renewable energy consumption on CO2 emissions in BRIC countries from 1991 to 2023. The objective is to understand the long-term relationships among these variables and provide relevant insights. Using fully modified ordinary least squares and dynamic ordinary least squares econometric methods, the findings reveal that GDP and population growth significantly increase CO2 emissions, while renewable energy consumption reduces them. The panel autoregressive distributed lag results highlight the need for policies promoting renewable energy and managing population growth to mitigate environmental impacts. Notably, economic policy uncertainty also contributes to higher emissions, underscoring the importance of stable economic policies.

Abstract Image

描绘金砖四国在政治稳定、经济增长、人口结构、可再生能源和二氧化碳排放方面的联系
本研究探讨了 1991 年至 2023 年金砖四国的经济政策不确定性、国内生产总值、人口和可再生能源消费对二氧化碳排放量的影响。目的是了解这些变量之间的长期关系,并提供相关见解。利用完全修正的普通最小二乘法和动态普通最小二乘法计量经济学方法,研究结果表明,国内生产总值和人口增长会显著增加二氧化碳排放量,而可再生能源消费会减少二氧化碳排放量。面板自回归分布滞后结果突出表明,需要制定促进可再生能源和管理人口增长的政策,以减轻对环境的影响。值得注意的是,经济政策的不确定性也会导致排放量增加,这凸显了稳定的经济政策的重要性。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
78
期刊介绍: Economic Change and Restructuring has been accepted for SSCI and will get its first Impact Factor in 2020!Since the early 1990s fundamental changes in the world economy, under the auspices of increasing globalisation, have taken place On one hand, the disappearance of the centrally planned economies and the progressive formation of market-oriented economies, have brought about countless systematic changes, where new economic structures, institutions, competences and skills involve complex processes, changes which are still underway and which necessitate adaptation and restructuring to form competitive market economies. On the other hand, many developing economies are making great strides as regards economic reform and liberalisation, and are emerging as new global players. They show an innovative capacity to position themselves in the global economy and to compete with industrialised countries, which are generally believed to be witnessing the rapid erosion of their established positions. These developments are accompanied by the exacerbation of the world competition. Both processes involve transition and the emerging economies, in searching for a new role and scope for public policies and for a new balance between public and private partnership, seem to currently be converging, especially with respect to the policies needed to create appropriate and effective market institutions and integrated reform policies, and to increase the standards of the population''s education levels. Thus, liberalisation and development policies, in attempting to strike a difficult balance between social and environmental needs, must be integrated more coherently. This complexity calls for new analytical and empirical approaches that can explain these new phenomena, which often go beyond the over-simplified facts and conventional ''wisdom'' that emerged at the start of the transition in the early 1990s. Economic Change and Restructuring (formerly ''Economics of Planning''), by keeping abreast of developments affecting both transitional and emerging economies, is aimed to attract original empirical and policy analysis contributions that are focused on various issues, including macroeconomic analysis, fiscal issues, finance and banking, industrial and trade development, and regional and local development issues. The journal aspires to publish cutting edge research and to serve as a forum for economists and policymakers working in these fields.Officially cited as: Econ Change Restruct
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