Dementia Incidence in Survivors of Multiple Myeloma: A National Case-Control Study Conducted in Korea (The CAREMM-2106 Study).

Abstract

Background: Dementia, a growing global health issue, affects older adults and specific groups like long-term cancer survivors. The link between cancer survival and dementia is debated. Multiple myeloma (MM), a common blood cancer in older adults, is often linked with cognitive issues. This study investigated dementia incidence in long-term MM survivors using Korean national data.

Methods: A retrospective case-control study used data from the Korea National Health Insurance Service (KNHIS), covering about 50 million Koreans. Patients diagnosed with MM between 2009 and 2020 formed the case cohort, while the control cohort included matched individuals without MM using propensity-score matching. Analyzing baseline characteristics, comorbidities, and socioeconomic status, the primary outcome was dementia incidence identified via ICD-10 codes. Statistical methods included Kaplan-Meier plots, cause-specific and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models, and a 3-year landmark analysis for immortal time bias.

Results: The study included 33,864 patients, with 16,932 in each cohort. The overall cumulative dementia incidence was lower in the MM cohort compared to controls. However, in the first 3 years, MM patients had a higher dementia risk (HR: 1.711, 95% CI, 1.562-1.874) than controls. After 3 years, the risk significantly decreased (HR: 0.625, 95% CI, 0.560-0.696). Age-specific analysis showed a consistent pattern, particularly among MM patients aged 70-79, where dementia risk increased post-3 years.

Conclusion: This study reveals a lower long-term dementia risk in MM survivors compared to non-MM individuals. Further prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and explore the underlying mechanisms.