Ebola disease outbreak caused by the Sudan virus in Uganda, 2022: a descriptive epidemiological study.

IF 19.9 1区 医学 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
Zainah Kabami, Alex R Ario, Julie R Harris, Mackline Ninsiima, Sherry R Ahirirwe, Jane R Aceng Ocero, Diana Atwine, Henry G Mwebesa, Daniel J Kyabayinze, Allan N Muruta, Atek Kagirita, Yonas Tegegn, Miriam Nanyunja, Saudah N Kizito, Daniel Kadobera, Benon Kwesiga, Samuel Gidudu, Richard Migisha, Issa Makumbi, Daniel Eurien, Peter J Elyanu, Alex Ndyabakira, Helen Nelly Naiga, Jane F Zalwango, Brian Agaba, Peter C Kawungezi, Marie G Zalwango, Patrick King, Brenda N Simbwa, Rebecca Akunzirwe, Mercy W Wanyana, Robert Zavuga, Thomas Kiggundu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Uganda has had seven Ebola disease outbreaks, between 2000 and 2022. On Sept 20, 2022, the Ministry of Health declared a Sudan virus disease outbreak in Mubende District, Central Uganda. We describe the epidemiological characteristics and transmission dynamics.

Methods: For this descriptive study, cases were classified as suspected, probable, or confirmed using Ministry of Health case definitions. We investigated all reported cases to obtain data on case-patient demographics, exposures, and signs and symptoms, and identified transmission chains. We conducted a descriptive epidemiological study and also calculated basic reproduction number (Ro) estimates.

Findings: Between Aug 8 and Nov 27, 2022, 164 cases (142 confirmed, 22 probable) were identified from nine (6%) of 146 districts. The median age was 29 years (IQR 20-38), 95 (58%) of 164 patients were male, and 77 (47%) patients died. Symptom onsets ranged from Aug 8 to Nov 27, 2022. The case fatality rate was highest in children younger than 10 years (17 [74%] of 23 patients). Fever (135 [84%] of 160 patients), vomiting (93 [58%] patients), weakness (89 [56%] patients), and diarrhoea (81 [51%] patients) were the most common symptoms; bleeding was uncommon (21 [13%] patients). Before outbreak identification, most case-patients (26 [60%] of 43 patients) sought care at private health facilities. The median incubation was 6 days (IQR 5-8), and median time from onset to death was 10 days (7-23). Most early cases represented health-care-associated transmission (43 [26%] of 164 patients); most later cases represented household transmission (109 [66%]). Overall Ro was 1·25.

Interpretation: Despite delayed detection, the 2022 Sudan virus disease outbreak was rapidly controlled, possibly thanks to a low Ro. Children (aged <10 years) were at the highest risk of death, highlighting the need for targeted interventions to improve their outcomes during Ebola disease outbreaks. Initial care-seeking occurred at facilities outside the government system, showing a need to ensure that private and public facilities receive training to identify possible Ebola disease cases during an outbreak. Health-care-associated transmission in private health facilities drove the early outbreak, suggesting gaps in infection prevention and control.

Funding: None.

2022 年乌干达苏丹病毒引发的埃博拉疫情:描述性流行病学研究。
背景:2000 年至 2022 年间,乌干达曾七次爆发埃博拉疫情。2022 年 9 月 20 日,乌干达卫生部宣布乌干达中部穆本德地区爆发苏丹病毒病。我们描述了疫情特点和传播动态:在这项描述性研究中,根据卫生部的病例定义将病例分为疑似、可能或确诊病例。我们对所有报告病例进行了调查,以获得病例患者的人口统计学、接触、体征和症状等数据,并确定了传播链。我们开展了一项描述性流行病学研究,并计算了基本繁殖数(Ro)估计值:2022年8月8日至11月27日期间,146个地区中有9个地区(6%)发现了164例病例(142例确诊,22例可能)。中位年龄为 29 岁(IQR 20-38),164 名患者中有 95 名(58%)为男性,77 名(47%)患者死亡。症状出现时间为 2022 年 8 月 8 日至 11 月 27 日。10岁以下儿童的病死率最高(23名患者中有17人[74%]死亡)。发热(160 名患者中的 135 [84%] 人)、呕吐(93 [58%] 人)、虚弱(89 [56%] 人)和腹泻(81 [51%] 人)是最常见的症状;出血并不常见(21 [13%] 人)。在发现疫情之前,大多数病例患者(43 名患者中的 26 [60%])都在私立医疗机构就诊。中位潜伏期为 6 天(IQR 5-8),从发病到死亡的中位时间为 10 天(7-23)。大多数早期病例为医疗机构相关传播(164 名患者中的 43 例 [26%]);大多数后期病例为家庭传播(109 例 [66%])。总体Ro为1-25:尽管发现较晚,但 2022 年苏丹病毒病的疫情还是得到了迅速控制,这可能要归功于较低的 Ro 值。儿童(年满 15 岁):无:无。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Lancet Global Health
Lancet Global Health PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-
CiteScore
44.10
自引率
1.20%
发文量
763
审稿时长
10 weeks
期刊介绍: The Lancet Global Health is an online publication that releases monthly open access (subscription-free) issues.Each issue includes original research, commentary, and correspondence.In addition to this, the publication also provides regular blog posts. The main focus of The Lancet Global Health is on disadvantaged populations, which can include both entire economic regions and marginalized groups within prosperous nations.The publication prefers to cover topics related to reproductive, maternal, neonatal, child, and adolescent health; infectious diseases (including neglected tropical diseases); non-communicable diseases; mental health; the global health workforce; health systems; surgery; and health policy.
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