Evaluation and optimization of sample size of neonates and infants for pediatric clinical studies on cefiderocol using a model-based approach.

Abstract

When planning pediatric clinical trials, optimizing the sample size of neonates/infants is essential because it is difficult to enroll these subjects. In this simulation study, we evaluated the sample size of neonates/infants using a model-based optimal approach for identifying their pharmacokinetics for cefiderocol. We assessed the usefulness of data for estimation performance (accuracy and variance of parameter estimation) from adults and the impact of data from very young subjects, including preterm neonates. Stochastic simulation and estimation were utilized to assess the impact of sample size allocation for age categories in estimation performance for population pharmacokinetic parameters in pediatrics. The inclusion of adult pharmacokinetic information improved the estimation performance of population pharmacokinetic parameters as the coefficient of variation (CV) range of parameter estimation decreased from 4.9%-593.7% to 2.3%-17.3%. When sample size allocation was based on the age groups of gestational age and postnatal age, the data showed 15 neonates/infants would be necessary to appropriately estimate pediatric pharmacokinetic parameters (<20%CV). By using the postmenstrual age (PMA), which is theoretically considered to be associated with the maturation of organs, the number of neonates/infants required for appropriate parameter estimation could be reduced to seven (one and six with <32 and >32 weeks PMA, respectively) to nine (three and six with <37 and >37 weeks PMA, respectively) subjects. The model-based optimal design approach allowed efficient evaluation of the sample size of neonates/infants for estimation of pediatric pharmacokinetic parameters. This approach to assessment should be useful when designing pediatric clinical trials, especially those including young children.