Comparative Cost-Effectiveness of Gemcitabine and Cisplatin in Combination with S-1, Durvalumab, or Pembrolizumab as First-Line Triple Treatment for Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer.
{"title":"Comparative Cost-Effectiveness of Gemcitabine and Cisplatin in Combination with S-1, Durvalumab, or Pembrolizumab as First-Line Triple Treatment for Advanced Biliary Tract Cancer.","authors":"Munenobu Kashiwa, Hiroyuki Maeda","doi":"10.1007/s12029-024-01106-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Purpose: </strong>The clinical effectiveness of triple chemotherapy consisting of gemcitabine, cisplatin plus either S-1 (GCS), durvalumab (DGC), or pembrolizumab (PGC) as first-line treatment for advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) has been reported. However, their comparative cost-effectiveness is unclear. We conducted a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis from the perspective of Japanese healthcare payer.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A 10-year partitioned survival model was constructed by comparing the time-dependent hazards of the KHBO1401-MITSUBA, TOPAZ-1, and KEYNOTE-966 trials. The cost and utility came from previously published reports. Quality-adjusted life years (QALY) were used to measure the effects on health. Costs for direct medical care were taken into account. There was a one-way analysis and a probability sensitivity analysis. A willingness-to-pay threshold of 7.5 million yen (57,034 USD) per QALY was defined.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The incremental costs per QALY for GCS, DGC, and PGC in the base case study were 3,779,374 JPY (28,740 USD), 86,058,056 JPY (65,4434 USD), and 28,982,059 JPY (220,396 USD), respectively. No parameter had an influence beyond the threshold in a one-way sensitivity analysis. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that the probability of GCS, DGC, and PGC being cost-effective at the threshold was 85.6%, 0%, and 0%, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>Given the current circumstances, it is probable that triple therapy utilizing GCS will emerge as a plausible and efficient primary chemotherapy strategy for patients with advanced BTC in the Japanese healthcare system, as opposed to DGC and PGC.</p>","PeriodicalId":15895,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer","volume":" ","pages":"1569-1580"},"PeriodicalIF":1.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s12029-024-01106-7","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/8/22 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Purpose: The clinical effectiveness of triple chemotherapy consisting of gemcitabine, cisplatin plus either S-1 (GCS), durvalumab (DGC), or pembrolizumab (PGC) as first-line treatment for advanced biliary tract cancer (BTC) has been reported. However, their comparative cost-effectiveness is unclear. We conducted a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis from the perspective of Japanese healthcare payer.
Methods: A 10-year partitioned survival model was constructed by comparing the time-dependent hazards of the KHBO1401-MITSUBA, TOPAZ-1, and KEYNOTE-966 trials. The cost and utility came from previously published reports. Quality-adjusted life years (QALY) were used to measure the effects on health. Costs for direct medical care were taken into account. There was a one-way analysis and a probability sensitivity analysis. A willingness-to-pay threshold of 7.5 million yen (57,034 USD) per QALY was defined.
Results: The incremental costs per QALY for GCS, DGC, and PGC in the base case study were 3,779,374 JPY (28,740 USD), 86,058,056 JPY (65,4434 USD), and 28,982,059 JPY (220,396 USD), respectively. No parameter had an influence beyond the threshold in a one-way sensitivity analysis. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis revealed that the probability of GCS, DGC, and PGC being cost-effective at the threshold was 85.6%, 0%, and 0%, respectively.
Conclusion: Given the current circumstances, it is probable that triple therapy utilizing GCS will emerge as a plausible and efficient primary chemotherapy strategy for patients with advanced BTC in the Japanese healthcare system, as opposed to DGC and PGC.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer is a multidisciplinary medium for the publication of novel research pertaining to cancers arising from the gastrointestinal tract.The journal is dedicated to the most rapid publication possible.The journal publishes papers in all relevant fields, emphasizing those studies that are helpful in understanding and treating cancers affecting the esophagus, stomach, liver, gallbladder and biliary tree, pancreas, small bowel, large bowel, rectum, and anus. In addition, the Journal of Gastrointestinal Cancer publishes basic and translational scientific information from studies providing insight into the etiology and progression of cancers affecting these organs. New insights are provided from diverse areas of research such as studies exploring pre-neoplastic states, risk factors, epidemiology, genetics, preclinical therapeutics, surgery, radiation therapy, novel medical therapeutics, clinical trials, and outcome studies.In addition to reports of original clinical and experimental studies, the journal also publishes: case reports, state-of-the-art reviews on topics of immediate interest or importance; invited articles analyzing particular areas of pancreatic research and knowledge; perspectives in which critical evaluation and conflicting opinions about current topics may be expressed; meeting highlights that summarize important points presented at recent meetings; abstracts of symposia and conferences; book reviews; hypotheses; Letters to the Editors; and other items of special interest, including:Complex Cases in GI Oncology: This is a new initiative to provide a forum to review and discuss the history and management of complex and involved gastrointestinal oncology cases. The format will be similar to a teaching case conference where a case vignette is presented and is followed by a series of questions and discussion points. A brief reference list supporting the points made in discussion would be expected.