Machine learning-based integration of CD8 T cell-related gene signatures for comprehensive prognostic assessment in lung adenocarcinoma.

Abstract

Background: Lung adenocarcinoma (LUAD) stands as the most prevalent histological subtype of lung cancer, exhibiting heterogeneity in outcomes and diverse responses to therapy. CD8 T cells are consistently present throughout all stages of tumor development and play a pivotal role within the tumor microenvironment (TME). Our objective was to investigate the expression profiles of CD8 T cell marker genes, establish a prognostic risk model based on these genes in LUAD, and explore its relationship with immunotherapy response.

Methods: By leveraging the expression data and clinical records from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohorts, we identified 23 consensus prognostic genes. Employing ten machine-learning algorithms, we generated 101 combinations, ultimately selecting the optimal algorithm to construct an artificial intelligence-derived prognostic signature named riskScore. This selection was based on the average concordance index (C-index) across three testing cohorts.

Results: RiskScore emerged as an independent risk factor for overall survival (OS), progression-free interval (PFI), disease-free interval (DFI), and disease-specific survival (DSS) in LUAD. Notably, riskScore exhibited notably superior predictive accuracy compared to traditional clinical variables. Furthermore, we observed a positive correlation between the high-risk riskScore group and tumor-promoting biological functions, lower tumor mutational burden (TMB), lower neoantigen (NEO) load, and lower microsatellite instability (MSI) scores, as well as reduced immune cell infiltration and an increased probability of immune evasion within the TME. Of significance, the immunophenoscore (IPS) score displayed significant differences among risk subgroups, and riskScore effectively stratified patients in the IMvigor210 and GSE135222 immunotherapy cohort based on their survival outcomes. Additionally, we identified potential drugs that could target specific risk subgroups.

Conclusions: In summary, riskScore demonstrates its potential as a robust and promising tool for guiding clinical management and tailoring individualized treatments for LUAD patients.