Evaluation of 2010 heatwave prediction skill by SLNE coupled model

Abstract

SLNE is the coupled model, that was developed in 2023. SL and NE here are the first two letters from SLAV (Semi-Lagrangian, based on Absolute Vorticity equation) model of the atmosphere and NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model that have been coupled using OASIS3-MCT software. The initial conditions for SLAV and NEMO are specified from an atmospheric and ocean analyses produced in Hydrometcentre of Russia. The 2010–2021 hindcast accuracy study shows, that SLNE has comparable errors to the operational SLAV model on a sub-seasonal time scale. The SLNE model has improved prediction skill of the 2010 heatwave features in comparison to SLAV, that is a motivation for further work to improve the coupled model.