Na Yang, Dongwei Liu, Qi Liu, Zhiwei Li, Tao Liu, Jianfeng Wang, Ze Xu
{"title":"Research on occupant injury severity prediction of autonomous vehicles based on transfer learning","authors":"Na Yang, Dongwei Liu, Qi Liu, Zhiwei Li, Tao Liu, Jianfeng Wang, Ze Xu","doi":"10.1002/for.3186","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The focus of the future of autonomous vehicles has shifted from feasibility to safety and comfort. The seat of an autonomous vehicle may be equipped with a rotational function, and the occupant's sitting position would be diverse. This poses a higher challenge to occupant injury protection during vehicle collisions. The main objective of the current study is to develop occupant injury prediction models for autonomous vehicles that can be used to predict the injury severity of occupants in different seat orientations and sitting positions. The first step is to establish an occupant crash model database with different seat orientations. It is used to simulate the occupant crash injury database of an autonomous vehicle, considering seat rotation and the back inclination angle. The second step is to establish a pre‐training occupant injury prediction model based on the existing database and then train the autonomous vehicle occupant injury prediction model using an in‐house database based on the transfer learning method. Occupant injury prediction models achieve good accuracy (82.8% on the numerical database and 62.9% on the real verification database) and shorter computational time (4.86 ± 0.33 ms) on the prediction tasks. Finally, the influence of the model input variables is analyzed. This study demonstrates the feasibility of using a small‐sample database based on transfer learning for occupant injury prediction in autonomous vehicles.","PeriodicalId":47835,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forecasting","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1002/for.3186","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The focus of the future of autonomous vehicles has shifted from feasibility to safety and comfort. The seat of an autonomous vehicle may be equipped with a rotational function, and the occupant's sitting position would be diverse. This poses a higher challenge to occupant injury protection during vehicle collisions. The main objective of the current study is to develop occupant injury prediction models for autonomous vehicles that can be used to predict the injury severity of occupants in different seat orientations and sitting positions. The first step is to establish an occupant crash model database with different seat orientations. It is used to simulate the occupant crash injury database of an autonomous vehicle, considering seat rotation and the back inclination angle. The second step is to establish a pre‐training occupant injury prediction model based on the existing database and then train the autonomous vehicle occupant injury prediction model using an in‐house database based on the transfer learning method. Occupant injury prediction models achieve good accuracy (82.8% on the numerical database and 62.9% on the real verification database) and shorter computational time (4.86 ± 0.33 ms) on the prediction tasks. Finally, the influence of the model input variables is analyzed. This study demonstrates the feasibility of using a small‐sample database based on transfer learning for occupant injury prediction in autonomous vehicles.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Forecasting is an international journal that publishes refereed papers on forecasting. It is multidisciplinary, welcoming papers dealing with any aspect of forecasting: theoretical, practical, computational and methodological. A broad interpretation of the topic is taken with approaches from various subject areas, such as statistics, economics, psychology, systems engineering and social sciences, all encouraged. Furthermore, the Journal welcomes a wide diversity of applications in such fields as business, government, technology and the environment. Of particular interest are papers dealing with modelling issues and the relationship of forecasting systems to decision-making processes.