Deciphering the nexus of climate change, agriculture, and migration: perspectives from African and Asian realms

IF 1.9 Q2 ECONOMICS
Rajveer Kaur Ritu, Prabhjot Kaur, Amanpreet Kaur
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Abstract

Purpose

The present research attempts to delve into the climate-agriculture-migration nexus to ascertain whether the variation in agriculture output due to climatic factors has a significant influence on the emigration flows from the Asian and African continents.

Design/methodology/approach

The present study draws upon a rich panel of data from 27 countries (14 African and 13 Asian) between 1995 and 2020. The first stage least square, OLS and 2SLS techniques have been employed to examine the relationships between climatic factors and international migration, climatic factors and agriculture output, and agriculture output and international migration, respectively.

Findings

The results exhibit a positive relationship between temperature and international migration. The influence of temperature on agriculture output is negative but insignificant while precipitation promotes agriculture output. In addition, agriculture output negatively influences international migration, and these findings establish a climate-agriculture-migration relationship.

Practical implications

To counteract the climate-agriculture-migration nexus, it is incumbent upon governments to conduct extensive field trials and data collection exercises to assess the influence of climate in separate agro-ecological zones and devise policies accordingly.

Originality/value

The literature concerning the interrelationship between climatic factors, agriculture and migration is scarce and what is available pertains to different contexts. Moreover, no studies are based on Asia and Africa; the continents have a high dependence on agriculture and outmigration rates, and the present research covers this important gap in the literature.

解读气候变化、农业和移民之间的关系:非洲和亚洲的视角
本研究试图深入探讨气候-农业-移民之间的关系,以确定气候因素导致的农业产出变化是否会对亚洲和非洲大陆的移民潮产生重大影响。研究结果表明,气温与国际移民之间存在正相关关系。气温对农业产出的影响为负,但不显著,而降水对农业产出有促进作用。为了应对气候-农业-移民之间的关系,各国政府有责任进行广泛的实地试验和数据收集工作,以评估气候对不同农业生态区的影响,并制定相应的政策。此外,还没有基于亚洲和非洲的研究;这两个大洲对农业和向外移民率的依赖程度很高,本研究填补了文献中的这一重要空白。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Social Economics publishes original and peer-reviewed theoretical and empirical research in the field of social economics. Its focus is on the examination and analysis of the interaction between economic activity, individuals and communities. Social economics focuses on the relationship between social action and economies, and examines how social and ethical norms influence the behaviour of economic agents. It is inescapably normative and focuses on needs, rather than wants or preferences, and considers the wellbeing of individuals in communities: it accepts the possibility of a common good rather than conceiving of communities as merely aggregates of individual preferences and the problems of economics as coordinating those preferences. Therefore, contributions are invited which analyse and discuss well-being, welfare, the nature of the good society, governance and social policy, social and economic justice, social and individual economic motivation, and the associated normative and ethical implications of these as they express themselves in, for example, issues concerning the environment, labour and work, education, the role of families and women, inequality and poverty, health and human development.
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