Prediction technology of mine water inflow based on entropy weight method and multiple nonlinear regression theory and its application

IF 3.9 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Bo Li, Huang Wu, Qiang Wu, Yifan Zeng, Xiaoming Guo
{"title":"Prediction technology of mine water inflow based on entropy weight method and multiple nonlinear regression theory and its application","authors":"Bo Li, Huang Wu, Qiang Wu, Yifan Zeng, Xiaoming Guo","doi":"10.1007/s40948-024-00842-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Mine water inflow is an important basis for the formulation of mining plans and the utilization of groundwater resources. The mine water inflow is the result of the combined influence of many factors. The weight value of the influencing factors is calculated by the entropy method, and the order of importance of the factors is: precipitation &gt; mining depth &gt; cumulative mined-out area &gt; aquifer thickness &gt; mining area &gt; mining height. The optimal univariate nonlinear regression model of mine water inflow to each influencing factor is obtained by factor scatter analysis and Matlab function programming. On this basis, combined with the weight values of factors, a multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model of mine water inflow based on weighting is innovatively established, which overcomes the defect that the traditional water inflow prediction method that cannot reflect the relative importance differences of various influencing factors. The multivariate weighted nonlinear regression model is used to predict the mine water inflow of typical coal mines, and the prediction results are compared with the linear regression model and the measured value. The results show that the prediction model of mine water inflow based on weighted multivariate nonlinear regression is accurate higher, with higher practical application value.</p>","PeriodicalId":12813,"journal":{"name":"Geomechanics and Geophysics for Geo-Energy and Geo-Resources","volume":"36 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Geomechanics and Geophysics for Geo-Energy and Geo-Resources","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s40948-024-00842-1","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

Mine water inflow is an important basis for the formulation of mining plans and the utilization of groundwater resources. The mine water inflow is the result of the combined influence of many factors. The weight value of the influencing factors is calculated by the entropy method, and the order of importance of the factors is: precipitation > mining depth > cumulative mined-out area > aquifer thickness > mining area > mining height. The optimal univariate nonlinear regression model of mine water inflow to each influencing factor is obtained by factor scatter analysis and Matlab function programming. On this basis, combined with the weight values of factors, a multivariate nonlinear regression prediction model of mine water inflow based on weighting is innovatively established, which overcomes the defect that the traditional water inflow prediction method that cannot reflect the relative importance differences of various influencing factors. The multivariate weighted nonlinear regression model is used to predict the mine water inflow of typical coal mines, and the prediction results are compared with the linear regression model and the measured value. The results show that the prediction model of mine water inflow based on weighted multivariate nonlinear regression is accurate higher, with higher practical application value.

Abstract Image

基于熵权法和多元非线性回归理论的矿井涌水量预测技术及其应用
矿井涌水量是制定采矿计划和利用地下水资源的重要依据。矿井涌水量是多种因素综合影响的结果。采用熵法计算各影响因素的权重值,各因素的重要程度依次为:降水量> 开采深度> 累计采空区> 含水层厚度> 开采面积> 开采高度。通过因子散点分析和 Matlab 函数编程,得到矿井来水量对各影响因子的最优单变量非线性回归模型。在此基础上,结合各因素的权重值,创新性地建立了基于权重的矿井涌水量多元非线性回归预测模型,克服了传统涌水量预测方法不能反映各影响因素相对重要性差异的缺陷。利用多元加权非线性回归模型对典型煤矿的矿井涌水量进行了预测,并将预测结果与线性回归模型和实测值进行了比较。结果表明,基于加权多元非线性回归的矿井涌水量预测模型准确度较高,具有较高的实际应用价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
Geomechanics and Geophysics for Geo-Energy and Geo-Resources
Geomechanics and Geophysics for Geo-Energy and Geo-Resources Earth and Planetary Sciences-Geophysics
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
16.00%
发文量
163
期刊介绍: This journal offers original research, new developments, and case studies in geomechanics and geophysics, focused on energy and resources in Earth’s subsurface. Covers theory, experimental results, numerical methods, modeling, engineering, technology and more.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信