Does macroeconomic transmission streams matter for climate change and banking system stability relationships in selected Sub-Saharan economies?

Emmanuel Amo-Bediako, Oliver Takawira, I. Choga
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Abstract

This study examines the macroeconomic transmission streams through which climate change impacts banking system stability in selected sub-Saharan economies. Climate change has become a paramount issue facing planet Earth. As a result, numerous empirical studies have emerged examining the impact of climate change on financial activities. Further, the study adopts the quantitative research methodology in a panel data framework and employs the wavelet coherence technique on the basis that it combines both time interval and frequency dimensions in its assessment. The study utilizes 29 selected economies from SSA for the period 1996-2017. The overall findings show that macroeconomic indicators (inflation, labor productivity, real GDP, and real exchange rate) serve as pathways through which climate change impacts banking system stability in selected sub-Saharan economies. It was also revealed that interaction between greenhouse gas emissions and labor productivity has more continuous coherence (both in the short-term and long-term) than any other variable used in this present study. We recommend that central banks, monetary authorities, and government on policy front consider macroeconomic effects in the integration of climate change policies for stable banking system operations in SSA. Macroeconomic indicators are highly sensitive; however, it is well-written that fundamentals of macroeconomic indicators in SSA are weak.
在选定的撒哈拉以南经济体中,宏观经济传导流对气候变化和银行系统稳定性关系是否重要?
本研究探讨了气候变化对部分撒哈拉以南经济体的银行系统稳定性产生影响的宏观经济传导流。气候变化已成为地球面临的首要问题。因此,出现了许多实证研究,探讨气候变化对金融活动的影响。此外,本研究采用了面板数据框架下的定量研究方法,并使用了小波一致性技术,因为该技术在评估中结合了时间间隔和频率两个维度。研究利用了 1996-2017 年期间撒南非洲 29 个选定经济体的数据。总体研究结果表明,宏观经济指标(通货膨胀、劳动生产率、实际国内生产总值和实际汇率)是气候变化影响撒哈拉以南选定经济体银行系统稳定性的途径。研究还发现,温室气体排放与劳动生产率之间的相互作用比本研究中使用的任何其他变量都更具有连续一致性(无论是短期还是长期)。我们建议各国中央银行、货币当局和政府在制定政策时考虑宏观经济效应,将气候变化政策纳入其中,以促进撒哈拉以南非洲地区银行系统的稳定运行。宏观经济指标具有高度敏感性;然而,有文章指出,撒南非洲宏观经济指标的基本面很薄弱。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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