The impact of macroeconomic and bank internal factors on banking stability: Evidence from Kosovo banking sector

Bujar Statovci, Driton Balaj
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Abstract

The aim of this research paper is to empirically identify the impact of internal and macroeconomic factors on the stability of the banking sector in Kosovo. The stability of banks is determined by the amount of risk they can be exposed to. NPLs (non-performing loans) are one of the main factors used to measure banking stability. In addition to the literature in the Eurozone and the United States, there is a gap in Kosovo regarding the impact of internal and macroeconomic factors on the stability of the banking sector. This paper aims to fill the existing gap and expand the literature and knowledge on banking stability. The paper attempts to answer the following questions: which are the internal and macroeconomic factors that impact the banking stability in Kosovo? Regression modelling using panel OLS, random and fixed effects was used to generate the main findings and results. Results show that return on assets, loan loss provision, capitalization, and bank size at p-value <0.05 have a statistically significant impact on non-performing loans, whereas loan growth, GDP, and inflation have statistically insignificant impact on non-performing loans. The research paper is helpful for senior management of the banks, central bank, investors, and government to take into consideration the internal and macroeconomic factors that impact the banking stability.
宏观经济和银行内部因素对银行稳定性的影响:科索沃银行业的证据
本研究论文的目的是根据经验确定内部和宏观经济因素对科索沃银行业稳定性的影响。银行的稳定性取决于其可能面临的风险量。不良贷款是衡量银行稳定性的主要因素之一。除了欧元区和美国的文献外,科索沃在内部和宏观经济因素对银行业稳定性的影响方面也存在空白。本文旨在填补现有空白,扩展有关银行业稳定性的文献和知识。本文试图回答以下问题:影响科索沃银行业稳定性的内部和宏观经济因素有哪些?本文使用面板 OLS、随机效应和固定效应建立回归模型,以得出主要发现和结果。结果显示,资产回报率、贷款损失准备金、资本化和银行规模对不良贷款的影响在统计学上有显著影响(P 值小于 0.05),而贷款增长、国内生产总值和通货膨胀对不良贷款的影响在统计学上不显著。该研究论文有助于银行高级管理层、中央银行、投资者和政府考虑影响银行稳定性的内部和宏观经济因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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