Psychological features of managerial decision-making in conditions of social and economic crises

Olha Vasylchenko
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Abstract

Introduction. Studying the features of managerial decision-making in in times of crisis have great social significance. For decades, Ukrainian society has been experiencing a series of sever social-political, economic, and environmental crises. Aim: to analyze the theories and research that explain the process of decision-making by managers in crisis situations and to develop a conceptual model of psychological determinants on this basis. Methods. The article contains a theoretical overview of classic and modern works on the psychological determinants of decision-making in crisis conditions. Results. The key role of managers' readiness and ability to make decisions was determined and possible positive and negative effects of crises on organizations were explained. Theoretical approaches to decision-making proposed by cognitive psychology, behavioral economics, management and various branches of psychology were described. According to the theory of bounded rationality, decision-making in an externally-induced crisis has four stages: understanding the need for decision-making and updating organizational goals; formulation of possible alternatives and analysis of their possible effects; choosing the most affordable and effective (satisfactory) solution to the problem; verification and adjustment of the approved decision in the process of its realisation. The impact of cognitive biases and emotions on the decision-making process at all stages were described. The results of the studies on the features of decision-making by heads of organizations in the conditions of the war in Ukraine were analyzed. Conclusions. Based on the generalization of the data from the relevant scientific sources, a conceptual model of the impact of psychological factors (motivational, emotional, and cognitive) at various stages of decision-making process in crisis situations was proposed. The importance of managers' prompt psychological adjustment to changes in working conditions and organizational goals was emphasized, which makes it possible to make effective decisions in a crisis situation.
社会和经济危机条件下管理决策的心理特征
引言研究危机时期管理决策的特点具有重要的社会意义。几十年来,乌克兰社会经历了一系列严重的社会政治、经济和环境危机。目的:分析解释危机情况下管理人员决策过程的理论和研究,并在此基础上建立心理决定因素的概念模型。方法。文章对有关危机情况下决策心理决定因素的经典和现代著作进行了理论综述。结果。确定了管理人员做出决策的准备程度和能力的关键作用,并解释了危机对组织可能产生的积极和消极影响。介绍了认知心理学、行为经济学、管理学和心理学各分支提出的决策理论方法。根据有界理性理论,外部引发的危机中的决策分为四个阶段:了解决策的必要性并更新组织目标;制定可能的备选方案并分析其可能产生的影响;选择最经济、最有效(令人满意)的解决问题的办法;在实现过程中对批准的决策进行验证和调整。研究描述了认知偏差和情绪对决策过程各个阶段的影响。对乌克兰战争条件下组织负责人决策特点的研究结果进行了分析。结论。在归纳相关科学资料数据的基础上,提出了危机情况下决策过程各阶段心理因素(动机、情绪和认知)影响的概念模型。该模型强调了管理人员根据工作条件和组织目标的变化及时进行心理调整的重要性,这使得在危机情况下做出有效决策成为可能。
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