THE IMPACT OF EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT: ARDL TESTING BOUND

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Abstract

Promoting sustainable development is one of the main objectives in emerging nations. In actuality, these nations desperately require significant investments. Exchange rate volatility is one of the many dangers foreign investors face. This volatility is an essential element that could restrict trading volume and reduce investment. Such fluctuations, which arise in industrialized nations, lead to instability on a worldwide scale. The present article studies the relationship between absolute exchange rate volatility and foreign direct investment (FDI). This study covers 13 developing countries over the period 1980–2022. The model used in this work is an Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) to estimate the impact of the Real Exchange Rate and its Volatility on FDI. Our results indicate that the exchange rate volatility hurts FDI both in the short and long term. A positive relationship between FDI and REER has also been approved. The findings of this study suggest that developing countries must implement monetary policies to ensure a stable exchange rate that attracts more foreign direct investment.
汇率波动对外国直接投资的影响:汇率波动对外国直接投资的影响
促进可持续发展是新兴国家的主要目标之一。实际上,这些国家迫切需要大量投资。汇率波动是外国投资者面临的众多危险之一。这种波动是限制交易量和减少投资的重要因素。工业化国家出现的这种波动会导致全球范围的不稳定。本文研究了绝对汇率波动与外国直接投资(FDI)之间的关系。研究涵盖了 1980-2022 年间的 13 个发展中国家。本文采用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)来估计实际汇率及其波动对外国直接投资的影响。我们的研究结果表明,无论从短期还是长期来看,汇率波动都会损害外国直接投资。外国直接投资与实际汇率之间的正相关关系也得到了证实。这项研究的结果表明,发展中国家必须实施货币政策,以确保稳定的汇率吸引更多的外国直接投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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