Design of a Tunnel Anchor Monitoring System Based on Long Short-Term Memory–Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Prediction

Abstract

Considering the shortcomings of the current monitoring system for tunnel anchor support systems, a tunnel anchor monitoring system based on LSTM-ARIMA prediction is proposed in this paper to prevent the deformation and collapse accidents that may occur in the underground mine tunnels during the backfilling process, which combines the Internet of Things and a neural network deep learning algorithm to achieve the real-time monitoring and prediction of the tunnel anchor pressure. To improve the prediction accuracy, a time series analysis algorithm is used in the prediction model of this system. In particular, an LSTM-ARIMA model is constructed to predict the tunnel anchor pressure by combining the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model. And a dynamic weighted combination method is designed based on model prediction confidence to acquire the optimal weight coefficients. This combined model enables the monitoring system to predict the anchor pressure more accurately, thereby preventing possible tunnel deformation and collapse accidents in advance. Finally, the overall system is verified using the anchor pressure dataset obtained from the 21,404 section of the Hulusu Coal Mine transportation tunnel in real-world engineering, whose results show that the pressure value predicted using the combined model is basically the same as the actual value on site, and the system has high real-time performance and stability, proving the effectiveness and reliability of the system.