{"title":"Research And Improvement of E-Commerce Shipment Prediction Model Based on Neural Network","authors":"Junxi Liu, Lingzhao Sun, Zhaoyang Si, Juncong He","doi":"10.54097/j38ryp55","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, for the problem of e-commerce shipment prediction, the first initial modeling and solving is based on BP neural network model. Through the construction and training of the neural network model, the relationship between the commodity shipments of each merchant in different warehouses and various properties is explored and predicted. Then, the irrationality of the initial model is improved, and the STL-LSTM deep learning algorithm is used for prediction model building to better capture the seasonal characteristics and trends of the time series data and improve the prediction accuracy. Finally, combined with the SARIMA neural network prediction model, the e-commerce shipments are predicted and analyzed more accurately to provide a scientific basis and reference for the merchants' demand for goods in different warehouses. Through the research and improvement of this paper, the accuracy and practicality of e-commerce shipment prediction can be effectively improved, which has certain theoretical and practical significance.","PeriodicalId":336504,"journal":{"name":"Highlights in Business, Economics and Management","volume":"2 26","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Highlights in Business, Economics and Management","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.54097/j38ryp55","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In this paper, for the problem of e-commerce shipment prediction, the first initial modeling and solving is based on BP neural network model. Through the construction and training of the neural network model, the relationship between the commodity shipments of each merchant in different warehouses and various properties is explored and predicted. Then, the irrationality of the initial model is improved, and the STL-LSTM deep learning algorithm is used for prediction model building to better capture the seasonal characteristics and trends of the time series data and improve the prediction accuracy. Finally, combined with the SARIMA neural network prediction model, the e-commerce shipments are predicted and analyzed more accurately to provide a scientific basis and reference for the merchants' demand for goods in different warehouses. Through the research and improvement of this paper, the accuracy and practicality of e-commerce shipment prediction can be effectively improved, which has certain theoretical and practical significance.
本文针对电商出货量预测问题,首先基于 BP 神经网络模型进行初步建模和求解。通过神经网络模型的构建和训练,探索和预测各商家在不同仓库的商品出货量与各种属性之间的关系。然后,改进初始模型的不合理性,采用 STL-LSTM 深度学习算法进行预测模型的构建,更好地捕捉时间序列数据的季节特征和变化趋势,提高预测精度。最后,结合SARIMA神经网络预测模型,对电商出货量进行了较为准确的预测和分析,为商家对不同仓库商品的需求提供了科学依据和参考。通过本文的研究和改进,可以有效提高电商出货量预测的准确性和实用性,具有一定的理论和实践意义。