Quantifying the influence of natural resources rent, financial development, and institutional quality on energy security risk

Ping Chen, Shuntao Zhong, ShiYong Zheng, Sana Ullah, Majd Musa
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Abstract

Access to stable energy sources is crucial for sustaining economic development, providing public services, and safeguarding the wellbeing of individuals, making it a crucial component of national security and economic stability. Thus, an affordable and ample amount of energy is crucial for mitigating energy security risks. In this regard, a country needs to investigate the factors that can mitigate the risks related to energy security. The available literature on determinants related to energy security is limited. This research employs a novel cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag model to examine the effects of natural resources rent, financial development, and institutional quality on energy security risk. The findings show that the natural resources rent, financial development, institutional quality index, voice and accountability, regulatory quality, political stability, government effectiveness, the rule of law, and control of corruption all help mitigate the energy security risk in the long run. In the short run, only financial development helps mitigate the energy security risks. The control variables of gross domestic product and trade increase the energy security risks, while the information and communications technology mitigates risks related to energy security in the long run. The findings help policymakers understand how the interaction of these factors helps reduce energy security risks.
量化自然资源租金、金融发展和机构质量对能源安全风险的影响
获得稳定的能源对于维持经济发展、提供公共服务和保障个人福祉至关重要,是国家安全和经济稳定的重要组成部分。因此,负担得起的充足能源是降低能源安全风险的关键。在这方面,一个国家需要研究能够降低能源安全相关风险的因素。有关能源安全决定因素的现有文献十分有限。本研究采用新颖的横截面增强自回归分布滞后模型,考察自然资源租金、金融发展和制度质量对能源安全风险的影响。研究结果表明,自然资源租金、金融发展、制度质量指数、发言权和问责制、监管质量、政治稳定性、政府效率、法治和腐败控制都有助于长期降低能源安全风险。从短期来看,只有金融发展有助于降低能源安全风险。国内生产总值和贸易这两个控制变量会增加能源安全风险,而信息和通信技术则会在长期内减轻与能源安全相关的风险。研究结果有助于决策者了解这些因素的相互作用如何有助于降低能源安全风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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