ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate

D. Faranda, G. Messori, Erika Coppola, T. Alberti, Mathieu Vrac, F. Pons, P. Yiou, Marion Saint Lu, Andreia N. S. Hisi, Patrick Brockmann, S. Dafis, G. Mengaldo, R. Vautard
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Abstract

Abstract. Climate change is a global challenge with multiple far-reaching consequences, including the intensification and increased frequency of many extreme-weather events. In response to this pressing issue, we present ClimaMeter, a platform designed to assess and contextualize extreme-weather events relative to climate change. The platform offers near-real-time insights into the dynamics of extreme events, serving as a resource for researchers and policymakers while also being a science dissemination tool for the general public. ClimaMeter currently analyses heatwaves, cold spells, heavy precipitation, and windstorms. This paper elucidates the methodology, data sources, and analytical techniques on which ClimaMeter relies, providing a comprehensive overview of its scientific foundation. We further present two case studies: the late 2023 French heatwave and the July 2023 Storm Poly. We use two distinct datasets for each case study, namely Multi-Source Weather (MSWX) data, which serve as the reference for our rapid-attribution protocol, and the ERA5 dataset, widely regarded as the leading global climate reanalysis. These examples highlight both the strengths and limitations of ClimaMeter in expounding the link between climate change and the dynamics of extreme-weather events.
ClimaMeter:将不断变化的气候中的极端天气背景化
摘要气候变化是一项全球性挑战,它带来了多种影响深远的后果,包括许多极端天气事件的加剧和频率的增加。针对这一紧迫问题,我们推出了 ClimaMeter 平台,旨在评估极端天气事件并将其与气候变化联系起来。该平台能够近乎实时地洞察极端事件的动态,既是研究人员和政策制定者的资源,也是面向公众的科学传播工具。ClimaMeter 目前分析热浪、寒流、强降水和暴风。本文阐明了 ClimaMeter 所依赖的方法、数据来源和分析技术,全面概述了其科学基础。我们进一步介绍了两个案例研究:2023 年底的法国热浪和 2023 年 7 月的保利风暴。我们在每个案例研究中都使用了两个不同的数据集,即作为我们快速归因协议参考的多源天气(MSWX)数据和ERA5数据集,ERA5数据集被广泛认为是领先的全球气候再分析数据。这些例子凸显了 ClimaMeter 在阐述气候变化与极端天气事件动态之间联系方面的优势和局限性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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