PRE - POST COVID 19 STOCK ANALYSIS OF ONGC

Vikram Kumar, Dr. Somya Vatsnayan
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Abstract

The financial markets have been significantly influenced by Covid19. Investors have reallocated their portfolios as a result of changing expectations for risk and return. In both academia and industry, building a portfolio via wise stock selection has been seenas a problem. The stock market's inherent uncertainties are to blame for this. Stock selection in a portfolio is impacted by anticipated price movement. The predictability of stock price changes has been disputed for a very long time, however. The random walk hypothesis (Fama, 1995) states that since stock price changes are unpredictable and lack memory, the past cannot foretell the future. Therefore, if the market is efficient, the stock price at the moment represents all the information. Since insider trading is required, it is impossible to outperform the market and is compatible with EMH. Therefore, the quest for effective forecasting techniques does not lead to consistent, long-term trendsthat can be predicted. According to the findings, investors have begun redistributing their portfolios across other equities in response to the current financial crisis related to COVID-19. But not all investors experience the same situation when switching from risky to risk- free investments.
COVID 19 前 - 后的 ONGC 股票分析
金融市场受到 Covid19 的重大影响。由于对风险和回报的预期不断变化,投资者重新配置了投资组合。在学术界和产业界,通过明智选股建立投资组合一直被视为一个问题。股市固有的不确定性是造成这种情况的原因。投资组合中的选股受到预期价格变动的影响。然而,股票价格变化的可预测性长期以来一直存在争议。随机漫步假说(Fama,1995 年)指出,由于股价变化不可预测且缺乏记忆,过去无法预示未来。因此,如果市场是有效的,那么当下的股价就代表了所有的信息。既然需要内幕交易,就不可能跑赢市场,这与 EMH 是一致的。因此,对有效预测技术的追求并不能带来一致的、可预测的长期趋势。根据研究结果,投资者已经开始在其他股票上重新分配投资组合,以应对当前与 COVID-19 相关的金融危机。但并非所有投资者在从风险投资转向无风险投资时都会遇到同样的情况。
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