Dynamic Evolution Model of Internet Financial Public Opinion

Information Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI:10.3390/info15080433
Chao Yu, Jianmin He, Qianting Ma, Xinyu Liu
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Abstract

In the context of global economic digitalization, financial information is highly susceptible to internet financial public opinion due to the overwhelming and misleading nature of information on internet platforms. This paper delves into the core entities in the diffusion process of internet financial public opinions, including financial institutions, governments, media, and investors, and models the behavioral characteristics of these entities in the diffusion process. On this basis, we comprehensively use the multi-agent model and the SIR model to construct a dynamic evolution model of internet financial public opinion. We conduct a simulation analysis of the impact effects and interaction mechanisms of multi-agent behaviors in the financial market on the evolution of internet financial public opinion. The research results are as follows. Firstly, the financial institutions’ digitalization levels, government guidance, and the media authority positively promote the diffusion of internet financial public opinion. Secondly, the improvement of investors’ financial literacy can inhibit the diffusion of internet financial public opinion. Thirdly, under the interaction of multi-agent behaviors in the financial market, the effects of financial institutions’ digitalization level and investors’ financial literacy are more significant, while the effects of government guidance and media authority tend to converge.
互联网金融舆论的动态演化模型
在全球经济数字化的背景下,由于互联网平台信息铺天盖地、误导性强,金融信息极易受到互联网金融舆情的影响。本文深入研究了互联网金融舆情扩散过程中的核心主体,包括金融机构、政府、媒体和投资者,并对这些主体在扩散过程中的行为特征进行了建模。在此基础上,综合运用多代理模型和 SIR 模型,构建了互联网金融舆情动态演化模型。我们对金融市场中多主体行为对互联网金融舆情演化的影响效应和互动机制进行了仿真分析。研究成果如下。首先,金融机构的数字化水平、政府引导和媒体权威对互联网金融舆情的扩散具有正向促进作用。第二,投资者金融素养的提升会抑制互联网金融舆情的扩散。第三,在金融市场多主体行为交互作用下,金融机构数字化水平和投资者金融素养的影响更为显著,而政府引导和媒体权威的影响趋于一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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