Promises and Limits of Using Targeted Social Media Advertising to Sample Global Migrant Populations: Nigerians at Home and Abroad

Thomas Soehl, Zhenxiang Chen, Aaron Erlich
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Abstract

Survey research on migrants is notoriously challenging, especially if the goal is to collect data across a range of countries. Social networking sites’ ability to micro-target advertisements to migrant communities combined with their near-global reach makes them an attractive option. Yet there is little rigorous evaluation of the quality of data thus collected—especially for populations from developing countries. We compare samples of Nigerian emigrants in Canada and Italy and Nigerians (at home) in Nigeria recruited through targeted advertising on Facebook and Instagram to population estimates. We find our samples contain varying degrees of bias in the case of age and gender and systematically miss those with little formal education. How much this affects our samples’ representativeness varies across contexts: discrepancies are much smaller for emigrant populations in Canada than in Italy and much larger in Nigeria, where a large share of the population has little formal education and limited literacy. Post-stratifying each sample on age, gender, and education does not ameliorate bias on other variables such as ethnicity, religion, period of migration, or political attitudes. We discuss the potential and limitations of social-media-driven sampling and highlight key considerations for implementing it to collect multi-sited data on migrants.
利用有针对性的社交媒体广告对全球移民人口进行抽样调查的承诺与限制:国内外的尼日利亚人
针对移民的调查研究是出了名的具有挑战性的工作,尤其是当目标是在多个国家收集数据时。社交网站能够向移民社区投放微型广告,而且其覆盖范围几乎遍及全球,这使其成为一个极具吸引力的选择。然而,对于由此收集到的数据质量,尤其是发展中国家人口的数据质量,却很少有严格的评估。我们将通过 Facebook 和 Instagram 上的定向广告招募的加拿大和意大利的尼日利亚移民样本以及尼日利亚人(在家)样本与人口估计值进行了比较。我们发现,我们的样本在年龄和性别方面存在不同程度的偏差,而且系统性地遗漏了那些受过很少正规教育的人。这种偏差对样本代表性的影响程度因环境而异:加拿大移民人口的偏差远小于意大利移民人口的偏差,而尼日利亚移民人口的偏差则要大得多,因为尼日利亚大部分人口未受过正规教育,识字率也有限。根据年龄、性别和教育程度对每个样本进行后分层并不能改善其他变量的偏差,如种族、宗教、移民时间或政治态度。我们讨论了社交媒体驱动的抽样的潜力和局限性,并强调了采用社交媒体驱动的抽样收集多地点移民数据的主要注意事项。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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