Stock market responses to Covid-19: Evidence from Jakarta Islamic Index

B. A. Fianto, Perdana Adi Nugroho, Syed Alamdar Ali Shah, Rogier Busser
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Abstract

Purpose – This study examines the effect of Covid-19 in Indonesia on the value of abnormal returns, trading volume activity, and efficiency of the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII), the Indonesian Islamic stock market.Methodology – This study employed the event study model to measure the relationship between important events related to the Indonesian Covid-19 pandemic on stock returns and the stock trading volume of JII indexed companies. Using research analysis techniques in the form of a market-adjusted model, this study determines the period of events before, during, and after the event.Findings – This study found that the global Covid-19 announcement, announcement of the new normal, and announcement of the Covid-19 vaccination gave a significant abnormal return reaction to the JII index and did not provide a significant trading volume activity reaction. Implications – Indonesia's Islamic stock market, which falls into the semi-strong efficient category, responds quickly to important public information such as Covid-19-related announcements. Investors showed high sensitivity to major news, but trading volumes did not change significantly, indicating a cautious adjustment strategy. The different reactions across sectors, especially industry and energy, highlight the need for investor portfolio diversification. It is important for policymakers to provide clear and timely communication to maintain market stability during crises. Further research is required to understand the long-term impact and extend the coverage of international Islamic stock markets.Originality – This study examines several important Covid-19 events that occurred in Indonesia on stock returns and trading volumes in the Indonesian Islamic stock market.
股市对 Covid-19 的反应:雅加达伊斯兰指数的证据
目的--本研究探讨了印尼 Covid-19 对印尼伊斯兰股票市场--雅加达伊斯兰指数(JII)的异常回报值、交易量活动和效率的影响。方法--本研究采用事件研究模型来衡量与印尼 Covid-19 大流行相关的重要事件对 JII 指数公司的股票回报和股票交易量之间的关系。研究结果 - 本研究发现,全球 Covid-19 公告、新常态公告和 Covid-19 疫苗接种公告给 JII 指数带来了显著的异常回报反应,但并未带来显著的交易量活动反应。意义--印尼的伊斯兰股票市场属于半强有效市场,对重要的公共信息(如 Covid-19 相关公告)反应迅速。投资者对重大新闻表现出高度敏感性,但交易量并未发生显著变化,这表明他们采取了谨慎的调整策略。各行业的不同反应,尤其是工业和能源行业,凸显了投资者投资组合多样化的必要性。在危机期间,政策制定者必须提供清晰、及时的沟通,以保持市场稳定。要了解长期影响并扩大国际伊斯兰股票市场的覆盖范围,还需要进一步的研究。 原创性 - 本研究探讨了在印度尼西亚发生的几个重要的 Covid-19 事件对印度尼西亚伊斯兰股票市场的股票回报和交易量的影响。
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