PERBANDINGAN MODEL PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN :“Model Altman Z-Score, Foster F-Score, Springate S-Score, Ohlson Y-Score, Zmijewski X-Score, Fullmer H-Score, Zavgreen Pi Score, dan Grover G-Score”

Muhamad Nasir, Kamaludin, Pratana Puspa Midiastuty
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Abstract

ABSTRACT This study aims to test the accuracy of predicting corporate bankruptcy models: (1) Altman Z Score which includes Altman, modified Altman, and modified Altman (2) Foster F-Score, (3) Springate S-Score, (4) Ohlson Y-Score, (5) Zmijewski X-Score, (6) Fullmer H-Score, (7) Zavgreen Pi Score, and (8) Grover G-Score. The research sample covers the period 2010-2016 and uses a sample of non-financial companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The number of observations used in this study was 1421 observations. From the overall test results, the accuracy results for companies that are predicted to be healthy and the order of accuracy are bankruptcy prediction Model 1) Zmijewski X-Score (99.50%), 2) Ohlson Y-Score (98.40%) 3) Fullmer H-Score (93.10%) 4) Grover G-Score (93%) 5) Altman Modified Z'-Score (82.77%) 6) Zavgreen Pi-Score (82.60%) 7) Altman Revised Z'-Score (67.75%) 8) Altman First Z-Score (64.11%) 9) Springate S-Score (58.60%) and 10) Foster F-Score (40.70%).  Testing for companies that are delisted later and from the bankruptcy prediction model declared bankrupt companies obtained the order of prediction accuracy is model prediction 1) Foster F-Score (68.25%) 2) Springate S-Score (61.90%) 3) Altman First Z-Score (26.42%) 4) Altman Revised Z'-Score (25.53%) 5) Fullmer H-Score (22.22%) 6) Zavgreen Pi-Score (20.63%) 7) Altman Modified Z"-Score (16.07%) 8) Grover G-Score (12.70%) 9) Ohlson Y-Score (3.17%) and 10) Zmijewski X-Score (0%).  
PERBANDINGAN MODEL PREDIKSI KEBANGKRUTAN:"Model Altman Z-Score、Foster F-Score、Springate S-Score、Ohlson Y-Score、Zmijewski X-Score、Fullmer H-Score、Zavgreen Pi Score 和 Grover G-Score"。
ABSTRACT 本研究旨在检验以下企业破产预测模型的准确性:(1)Altman Z Score,包括Altman、修正Altman和修正Altman;(2)Foster F Score;(3)Springate S Score;(4)Ohlson Y Score;(5)Zmijewski X Score;(6)Fullmer H Score;(7)Zavgreen Pi Score;(8)Grover G Score。研究样本涵盖 2010-2016 年期间,使用的样本是在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的非金融公司。本研究使用的观测值为 1421 个。从整体测试结果来看,预测健康的公司的准确率结果依次为破产预测模型1)Zmijewski X-Score(99.50%);2)Ohlson Y-Score(98.40%);3)Fullmer H-Score(93.10%) 4) Grover G-Score (93%) 5) Altman 修正 Z'-Score (82.77%) 6) Zavgreen Pi-Score (82.60%) 7) Altman 修正 Z'-Score (67.75%) 8) Altman 第一 Z-Score (64.11%) 9) Springate S-Score (58.60%) 和 10) Foster F-Score (40.70%)。对后来退市的公司进行测试,从破产预测模型中宣布破产的公司获得的预测准确率依次为模型预测 1)Foster F-Score(68.25%)2)Springate S-Score(61.90%) 3) Altman First Z-Score (26.42%) 4) Altman Revised Z'-Score (25.53%) 5) Fullmer H-Score (22.22%) 6) Zavgreen Pi-Score (20.63%) 7) Altman Modified Z"-Score (16.07%) 8) Grover G-Score (12.70%) 9) Ohlson Y-Score (3.17%) 和 10) Zmijewski X-Score (0%)。
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