O rozwoju naturalnie niezrównoważonym i równoważonym sztucznie

IF 1 4区 环境科学与生态学 Q4 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Ryszard Sztumski
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Abstract

The author presents the hypothesis that in the absence of human interference, i.e. in natural conditions, development takes place spontaneously and is basically unsustainable, and it becomes sustainable only due to anthropogenic factors, i.e. artificially. Sustainable development takes place primarily in the sociosphere. People began to balance development only when they realized that rapid economic development was reaching a critical moment because of the rapid exhaustion of fossil and non-fossil raw material resources and unlimited overconsumption. This was initially ignored. It took several decades before it was taken seriously. Then the idea of controlled, or sustainable, development appeared. Since then, actions have been taken to reduce various categories of imbalances in an increasing number of areas of activity. Since then, the idea of sustainable development has become fashionable, important and lucrative, although utopian, because sustainable development is seen as a panacea for crises, inequalities and social contradictions. The publications of Donella Meadows (Limits to growth. A Report for the Club of Rome's Project on the Predicament of Mankind), of Ernst U. v. Weizäcker (Wir sind dran. Was wir ändern müssen, wenn wir bleiben wollen), and of Gaya Herrington, (Five Insights for Avoiding Global Collapse) contributed significantly to the implementation of this idea. They indicate that appropriate actions taken by 2040 will determine the future fate of humanity. To prove the validity of his hypothesis, the author used some publications on 17 general goals and 169 tasks.
关于不可持续的自然发展和人为的平衡发展
作者提出了这样一个假设:在没有人类干预的情况下,即在自然条件下,发展是自发的,基本上是不可持续的,只有在人为因素的作用下,即在人为的情况下,发展才变得可持续。可持续发展主要发生在社会领域。只有当人们意识到,由于化石和非化石原材料资源的迅速耗竭和无限制的过度消费,经济的快速发展已经到了一个关键时刻,人们才开始平衡发展。这一点最初被忽视了。几十年后,人们才认真对待这一问题。后来出现了可控发展或可持续发展的理念。从那时起,人们开始采取行动,在越来越多的活动领域减少各类失衡现象。从那时起,可持续发展的理念变得时髦、重要和有利可图,尽管它是乌托邦式的,因为可持续发展被视为解决危机、不平等和社会矛盾的灵丹妙药。Donella Meadows 的出版物(《增长的极限》。Wir sind dran. Was wir ändern müssen, wenn wir bleiben wollen)和加亚-赫林顿(Gaya Herrington)的著作《避免全球崩溃的五点启示》(Five Insights for Avoiding Global Collapse)极大地推动了这一理念的实施。它们指出,在 2040 年之前采取适当的行动将决定人类未来的命运。为了证明其假设的正确性,作者使用了一些关于 17 项总体目标和 169 项任务的出版物。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Problemy Ekorozwoju
Problemy Ekorozwoju ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
18.20%
发文量
55
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