Comprehensive risk assessment for identifying suitable residential zones in Manavgat, Mediterranean Region

IF 1.5 4区社会学 Q2 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY

Evaluation and Program Planning Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI:10.1016/j.evalprogplan.2024.102465

Sedat Dogan , Cem Kilicoglu , Halil Akinci , Hakan Sevik , Mehmet Cetin , Nurhan Kocan

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Abstract

The absence of comprehensive risk analysis in residential development within certain regions often leads to substantial human and material losses during natural disasters. The Mediterranean region, particularly susceptible to the impacts of climate change, is projected to witness an upsurge in the frequency of natural calamities like floods, landslides, and forest fires. Consequently, meticulous risk assessment during the selection of residential areas becomes paramount in this context. This study is dedicated to the evaluation of suitable residential zones in Manavgat, a pivotal location in the Mediterranean region with a progressively growing population. The findings indicate that approximately 4.26 % of the research area is deemed appropriate for residential establishment. The identification of these locations is crucial for ensuring human and material safety, as well as enhancing overall biocomfort. Moreover, this study provides a foundation for long-term planning initiatives within the region and makes a significant contribution to the international evaluation literature by demonstrating the application of integrated risk assessment methodologies in urban planning.

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为确定地中海地区马纳夫加特的合适居住区而进行的综合风险评估

某些地区的住宅开发缺乏全面的风险分析，往往会在自然灾害中造成巨大的人员和物质损失。地中海地区特别容易受到气候变化的影响，预计洪水、山体滑坡和森林火灾等自然灾害的发生频率将急剧上升。因此，在这种情况下，在选择居住区时进行细致的风险评估变得至关重要。马纳夫加特是地中海地区的一个重要地点，人口在不断增长。研究结果表明，约有 4.26% 的研究区域被认为适合建立住宅区。确定这些地点对于确保人类和物质安全以及提高整体生物舒适度至关重要。此外，这项研究还为该地区的长期规划举措奠定了基础，并通过展示综合风险评估方法在城市规划中的应用，为国际评估文献做出了重要贡献。

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来源期刊

Evaluation and Program Planning SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

3.10

自引率

6.20%

发文量

112

期刊介绍： Evaluation and Program Planning is based on the principle that the techniques and methods of evaluation and planning transcend the boundaries of specific fields and that relevant contributions to these areas come from people representing many different positions, intellectual traditions, and interests. In order to further the development of evaluation and planning, we publish articles from the private and public sectors in a wide range of areas: organizational development and behavior, training, planning, human resource development, health and mental, social services, mental retardation, corrections, substance abuse, and education.