STATE AND PROSPECTS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE VEGETABLE MARKET IN UKRAINE

Abstract

The review of the subject field of the econometric analysis of the functioning of the vegetable market in Ukraine was performed. The theoretical principles of vegetable market modeling were described externally. Characterization of the state of the domestic vegetable growing market in modern conditions has been carried out. The econometric model of the vegetable market was developed and evaluated. The economic formulation of the problem has been carried out. A linear multivariate regression model was constructed. The forecast of vegetable market indicators has been carried out. After forecasting the independent variables of the multifactorial linear model over time, the value of the average sales prices of vegetable crops by agricultural enterprises for the period 2022—2028 was calculated. It was concluded that the influence of the yield of vegetables, the level of average monthly wages, the number of employed population aged 15—70 in agriculture, forestry and fisheries, the volume of import of vegetable crops will cause a gradual increase in the average price of vegetables, and in 2028 the indicator will reach 12,269 UAH 4/ton. The analysis of the Ukrainian vegetable market in wartime reflects the complex challenges and opportunities faced by agricultural enterprises in this context. It is necessary to