The multilevel management system for Russian economy amid sanctions

E. Balatsky
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Abstract

In the face of large-scale international sanctions imposed by the collective West against Russia, it becomes imperative to reevaluate the conventional framework for guiding the Russian economy amid the emerging challenges and limitations. The article explores a multilevel system for managing Russian economy in the context of the global confrontation. The methodological foundation resides in the selective “incremental changes ideology” emphasising the necessity for disaggregation and decentralisation of economic policies to maximise the timeliness of managerial decisions. This approach contrasts with the holistic “total regulation ideology”, which focuses on the national development strategy on planning and reaching aggregate economic indicators. The paper applies the methods of traditional structural cybernetic and graphical modelling of social systems allowing for the specificities of the external environment. The evidence comes from a cluster of the most recent studies approaching the role of the international sanctions phenomenon in building an efficient national economy from different angles. The author presents an original graphical four-circuit concentric model complemented by a functional description of its constituent circuits (the core, priority industries, new production, and supporting industries) and management methods. The article provides examples of the management measures (massive centralised lending for new microchip production, creation of the state corporation Rospharma, etc.) that can be implemented within the four circuits of the model. These measures can be both soft (‘weak’) and hard (‘strong’) depending on whether they reject or take on administrative enforcement. It is noteworthy that the selective governance model will gradually evolve into a holistic model over time.
制裁中的俄罗斯经济多级管理体系
面对西方集体对俄罗斯实施的大规模国际制裁,当务之急是在新出现的挑战和限制中重新评估指导俄罗斯经济的传统框架。文章探讨了在全球对抗背景下管理俄罗斯经济的多层次体系。其方法论基础在于选择性的 "渐进变革思想",强调经济政策必须分解和分散,以最大限度地提高管理决策的时效性。这种方法与整体性的 "全面调控思想 "形成鲜明对比,后者将国家发展战略的重点放在规划和实现总体经济指标上。本文采用了传统的结构控制论和社会系统图形建模方法,考虑到了外部环境的特殊性。证据来自于从不同角度探讨国际制裁现象在建设高效国民经济中的作用的最新研究。作者提出了一个独创的四回路同心模型,并对其组成回路(核心、优先产业、新生产和辅助产业)和管理方法进行了功能描述。文章举例说明了可在该模型的四个回路中实施的管理措施(大规模集中借贷用于新的微型芯片生产、创建国有企业 Rospharma 等)。这些措施可以是软性的("弱"),也可以是硬性的("强"),取决于它们是拒绝还是采取行政强制措施。值得注意的是,随着时间的推移,选择性治理模式将逐渐演变为整体模式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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16 weeks
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