Discrepancy between regulations and practice in initial margin calculation

Abstract

Counterparty risk remains an issue in over-the-counter derivative transactions following the 2008 financial crisis. While the margin for a derivative transaction can only be transferred until just before the counterparty’s default, the exposure of the derivative transaction can vary stochastically during the margin period of risk, that is, the period from the counterparty’s default to the actual closing-out of the transaction. Thus, the anticipated positive exposure may not be recognized, resulting in counterparty risk. Considering it is difficult to calculate the initial margin (IM) according to the regulations, IM has been calculated in practice using a simplified method proposed by the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA), which is called the ISDA Standard Initial Margin Model (“ISDA SIMM”). In this study, we derive an approximate formula for some counterparty risk indicators for a stochastic volatility model and illustrate numerical analyses for a call option in the SABR model as an example to examine the effect of the discrepancy between regulations and practices in margin calculation. Our results imply that the IM calculated in practice may be insufficient for counterparty risk management, particularly when the market is volatile.