The risk of negative feedback loops in some weighted measures of crime harm

IF 3.1 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY

Crime Science Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI:10.1186/s40163-024-00216-8

Sam Lewis, Jose Pina-Sánchez, Daniel Birks

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Analyses of crime based upon aggregate counts of different crime types have restricted value, because they count all crime types equally irrespective of the harm caused. In response to this problem, a series of weighted measures of crime harm have been proposed. In this short contribution, we contend that the use of some crime harm metrics to inform police deployment practices has the potential to reinforce ethnic disparities in the criminal justice system through the creation of unintended negative feedback loops. We focus our analysis on the Cambridge Crime Harm Index and the Office for National Statistics (ONS) Crime Severity Score, the preeminent crime harm indexes in England and Wales. We conclude that the ONS Crime Severity Score, which is based on mean sentencing outcomes, does give cause for concern in some contexts. There is currently no evidence that the Cambridge Crime Harm Index, based on sentencing guidelines, presents the same problems.

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某些犯罪危害性加权测量中的负反馈循环风险

基于对不同犯罪类型的总体统计而进行的犯罪分析价值有限，因为无论造成的危害如何，它们对所有犯罪类型的统计都是相同的。针对这一问题，人们提出了一系列犯罪危害的加权衡量标准。在这篇简短的文章中，我们认为，使用某些犯罪危害度量标准来指导警方的部署实践，有可能通过建立意外的负反馈循环来强化刑事司法系统中的种族差异。我们重点分析了剑桥犯罪危害指数（Cambridge Crime Harm Index）和国家统计局犯罪严重程度评分（Office for National Statistics (ONS) Crime Severity Score），它们是英格兰和威尔士最重要的犯罪危害指数。我们的结论是，国家统计局犯罪严重程度评分基于平均量刑结果，在某些情况下确实令人担忧。目前没有证据表明，基于量刑指南的剑桥犯罪危害指数会带来同样的问题。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Crime Science Social Sciences-Cultural Studies

CiteScore

11.90

自引率

8.20%

发文量

审稿时长

13 weeks

期刊介绍： Crime Science is an international, interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal with an applied focus. The journal''s main focus is on research articles and systematic reviews that reflect the growing cooperation among a variety of fields, including environmental criminology, economics, engineering, geography, public health, psychology, statistics and urban planning, on improving the detection, prevention and understanding of crime and disorder. Crime Science will publish theoretical articles that are relevant to the field, for example, approaches that integrate theories from different disciplines. The goal of the journal is to broaden the scientific base for the understanding, analysis and control of crime and disorder. It is aimed at researchers, practitioners and policy-makers with an interest in crime reduction. It will also publish short contributions on timely topics including crime patterns, technological advances for detection and prevention, and analytical techniques, and on the crime reduction applications of research from a wide range of fields. Crime Science publishes research articles, systematic reviews, short contributions and theoretical articles. While Crime Science uses the APA reference style, the journal welcomes submissions using alternative reference styles on a case-by-case basis.