{"title":"Spatial-temporal neural networks for catch rate standardization and fish distribution modeling","authors":"Yeming Lei , Shijie Zhou , Nan Ye","doi":"10.1016/j.fishres.2024.107097","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) standardization is crucial for fishery stock assessment but often presents challenges due to spatial-temporal variations in species distribution and fishing effort. In this simulation study, we propose the use of customized artificial neural networks (ANNs) for modeling the spatial-temporal variations in CPUE standardization. This is achieved by encoding prior knowledge of the dependency structure between the variables into the architecture of the ANNs. We conducted numerical experiments on simulated data to compare our customized ANNs with Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), and fully connected ANNs used in previous studies. Our simulated data cover three spatial-temporal dynamics scenarios with different degrees of species distribution shift over time: (1) steady fish distribution; (2) gradual directional shift over time; (3) sudden directional shift. In predicting the standardized CPUE in this simulation study, the customized ANNs demonstrated greater accuracy compared to the commonly used fully connected ANNs with an error reduction of over 70 %, more than 80 % compared to GLMs, and more than 40 % compared to GAMs, in terms of an error metric called the scaled mean absolute relative error. Our findings suggest that customized ANNs can serve as an alternative modeling tool alongside GLMs and GAMs in fisheries modeling.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":50443,"journal":{"name":"Fisheries Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165783624001619/pdfft?md5=cff450809b63e4dd7c2cb138390a9e8e&pid=1-s2.0-S0165783624001619-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Fisheries Research","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165783624001619","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"FISHERIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) standardization is crucial for fishery stock assessment but often presents challenges due to spatial-temporal variations in species distribution and fishing effort. In this simulation study, we propose the use of customized artificial neural networks (ANNs) for modeling the spatial-temporal variations in CPUE standardization. This is achieved by encoding prior knowledge of the dependency structure between the variables into the architecture of the ANNs. We conducted numerical experiments on simulated data to compare our customized ANNs with Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), and fully connected ANNs used in previous studies. Our simulated data cover three spatial-temporal dynamics scenarios with different degrees of species distribution shift over time: (1) steady fish distribution; (2) gradual directional shift over time; (3) sudden directional shift. In predicting the standardized CPUE in this simulation study, the customized ANNs demonstrated greater accuracy compared to the commonly used fully connected ANNs with an error reduction of over 70 %, more than 80 % compared to GLMs, and more than 40 % compared to GAMs, in terms of an error metric called the scaled mean absolute relative error. Our findings suggest that customized ANNs can serve as an alternative modeling tool alongside GLMs and GAMs in fisheries modeling.
期刊介绍:
This journal provides an international forum for the publication of papers in the areas of fisheries science, fishing technology, fisheries management and relevant socio-economics. The scope covers fisheries in salt, brackish and freshwater systems, and all aspects of associated ecology, environmental aspects of fisheries, and economics. Both theoretical and practical papers are acceptable, including laboratory and field experimental studies relevant to fisheries. Papers on the conservation of exploitable living resources are welcome. Review and Viewpoint articles are also published. As the specified areas inevitably impinge on and interrelate with each other, the approach of the journal is multidisciplinary, and authors are encouraged to emphasise the relevance of their own work to that of other disciplines. The journal is intended for fisheries scientists, biological oceanographers, gear technologists, economists, managers, administrators, policy makers and legislators.