Water and development in the Asian tropics, 1900–1939

0 ECONOMICS
Maanik Nath, Chung-Tang Cheng, Vigyan D. Ratnoo
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Environmental conditions significantly affected development in the Asian tropics. This paper investigates the relationship between weather risk and agriculture in four regions with distinct climatological features. Using new data, we estimate the scale of crop output sensitivity to rainfall shocks across ecological zones. Output was sensitive to shocks in regions with low levels, concentrated spells and high volatility of rainfall. Canal irrigation protected some districts while unirrigated regions remained vulnerable. Regions with high rainfall levels and long seasons remained protected. Regions with large interruptions deterred investment and were underdeveloped while regions with small interruptions invited investment-led growth.

Abstract Image

1900-1939 年亚洲热带地区的水与发展
环境条件极大地影响了亚洲热带地区的发展。本文研究了气候特征明显的四个地区的天气风险与农业之间的关系。利用新数据,我们估算了不同生态区域作物产量对降雨冲击的敏感程度。在降雨量低、降雨集中和降雨波动性大的地区,产出对冲击非常敏感。运河灌溉保护了一些地区,而未灌溉地区仍然很脆弱。降雨量大、雨季长的地区仍然受到保护。降雨中断次数多的地区阻碍了投资,发展不足,而降雨中断次数少的地区则吸引了以投资为主导的增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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