Wavelet-ANN hybrid model evaluation in seepage prediction in nonhomogeneous earth dams

Bahador Fatehi-Nobarian, Sina Fard Moradinia
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Abstract

In this study, novel methods such as wavelet–artificial neural network hybrid models and artificial neural network models were used to predict seepage from the Zonouz earth dam. The dataset consisted of 972 piezometric data points. Statistical fitting methods such as root mean squared error, determination coefficient, scatter plots, and data distribution diagrams were used to evaluate the results. The findings indicated that the wavelet–artificial neural network hybrid model was more accurate than the artificial neural network model. Specifically, during training, the wavelet–artificial neural network hybrid model had determination coefficients and root mean squared errors of 0.820, 0.680, 743.39, and 792.52, while the artificial neural network model had 0.700, 0.600, 426.39, and 131.45. Similarly, during validation, the wavelet–artificial neural network hybrid model had determination coefficients and root mean squared errors of 0.700, 0.600, 426.39, and 131.45, while the artificial neural network model had 0.823, 0.680, 743.39, and 792.52. Therefore, the wavelet–artificial neural network hybrid model can be proposed as a precise method for predicting seepage in earth dams and is more accurate than the artificial neural network model. This study highlights the importance of preventing dam failures and using advanced modeling techniques for better predictions and preventive measures.
非均质土坝渗流预测中的 Wavelet-ANN 混合模型评估
本研究采用了小波-人工神经网络混合模型和人工神经网络模型等新方法来预测佐努兹土坝的渗流。数据集由 972 个压强数据点组成。采用均方根误差、确定系数、散点图和数据分布图等统计拟合方法对结果进行评估。研究结果表明,小波-人工神经网络混合模型比人工神经网络模型更准确。具体而言,在训练过程中,小波-人工神经网络混合模型的确定系数和均方根误差分别为 0.820、0.680、743.39 和 792.52,而人工神经网络模型的确定系数和均方根误差分别为 0.700、0.600、426.39 和 131.45。同样,在验证过程中,小波-人工神经网络混合模型的确定系数和均方根误差分别为 0.700、0.600、426.39 和 131.45,而人工神经网络模型的确定系数和均方根误差分别为 0.823、0.680、743.39 和 792.52。因此,可以提出小波-人工神经网络混合模型作为预测土坝渗流的精确方法,其精确度高于人工神经网络模型。这项研究强调了预防溃坝和使用先进建模技术进行更好预测和采取预防措施的重要性。
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