Applying recent advances in climate adaptation research to urban heat risk management

Chandni Singh, Ananya Ramesh, Michael Hagenlocher, Himanshu Shekhar, Anne‐Sophie Sabino Siemons, Olasunkanmi Habeeb Okunola, Saskia E. Werners
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Abstract

There is unequivocal evidence that anthropogenic climate change is supercharging temperature and precipitation regimes globally. One of the clearest signals of this is seen in current and projected increases in extreme heat, understood as changes in temperature maximums, longer duration heatwaves, and higher night‐time temperatures. Extreme heat has substantial impacts on socio‐ecological systems through direct impacts on human health and labor productivity, crop yields and water security; and second‐order impacts on infrastructure functioning and hazards (e.g., increased fire and drought incidence). These impacts are differentiated and mediated by preexisting vulnerabilities based on who you are, what you do, where you live, and your capacities to prepare for, prevent, cope with and adapt to heat exposure. Nowhere are these increasing and differentiated impacts of heat more visible than in populous, rapidly urbanizing regions. Governments across the world are piloting and implementing heat management strategies, which are variously called heat‐health plans, heat action plans, heat resilience strategies, and so forth. We argue that such actions and policy agendas can benefit from theoretical advances in the climate change vulnerability and adaptation literature. We synthesize five theoretical advances to highlight the need for suites of actions sequenced in pathways that are more sensitive to trade‐offs, center equity as a normative goal of effective adaptation, acknowledge uncertainty and preexisting differential vulnerabilities, leverage lessons from participatory adpatation planning, and are forward‐looking and preparatory actions. We consolidate these advances and develop an approach to inform urban heat risk management.This article is categorized under: Climate, Nature, and Ethics > Climate Change and Global Justice Climate and Development > Urbanization, Development, and Climate Change The Social Status of Climate Change Knowledge > Climate Science and Decision Making
将气候适应研究的最新进展应用于城市热风险管理
有明确证据表明,人为气候变化正在全球范围内加剧温度和降水机制。其中一个最明显的信号是当前和预计的极端高温的增加,即最高气温的变化、持续时间更长的热浪和夜间气温的升高。极端高温通过对人类健康和劳动生产率、作物产量和水安全的直接影响,以及对基础设施功能和危害(如火灾和干旱发生率增加)的二阶影响,对社会生态系统产生重大影响。这些影响是因人而异的,并受到先前存在的脆弱性的影响,这些脆弱性基于你是谁,你做什么,你住在哪里,以及你准备、预防、应对和适应热暴露的能力。在人口众多、迅速城市化的地区,这些日益严重和差异化的高温影响最为明显。世界各国政府正在试行和实施热管理战略,这些战略被称为热健康计划、热行动计划、热复原战略等。我们认为,这些行动和政策议程可以受益于气候变化脆弱性和适应性文献中的理论进展。我们归纳了五项理论进展,以强调有必要采取按路径排序的成套行动,这些行动对权衡利弊更加敏感,以公平作为有效适应的规范目标,承认不确定性和预先存在的不同脆弱性,利用参与式适应规划的经验教训,并且是前瞻性和准备性的行动。我们整合了这些进展,并开发了一种方法,为城市热风险管理提供信息。本文所属分类:气候、自然与伦理 > 气候变化与全球正义气候与发展 > 城市化、发展与气候变化气候变化知识的社会地位 > 气候科学与决策
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