System Dynamics-Based Simulation Analysis of the Policy of the Prefabricated Building Industry Chain

Abstract

: With the development of my country's industrial level, the prefabricated building (PB) model has gradually become the mainstream. In order to more scientifically study the development policy of the prefabricated building industry, a system dynamics model with the boundary of resource input, technology research and development, production capacity and market demand system is constructed from the perspective of industry chain development, based on the influence of external subjects of the industry chain on the development of the industry chain. Afterwards, dynamic simulations of the development trend of prefabricated buildings under different policy scenarios are carried out. The results show that the increase in capital investment in the industrial chain and the improvement of the prefabricated assembly rate of government-invested construction projects are strong short-term incentive policies, while corporate tax incentives and prefabricated building purchase loan incentives are long-term incentive policies. Combined with the simulation results, the policy formulation recommendations based on the development trend of the industry chain are put forward.