Changing Attitudes, Changing Coalitions: The Politics of Immigration Before and After Brexit

Robert Ford
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Abstract

The British political landscape on immigration before Brexit had a number of stable features: the public disliked migration and politicians from both main parties tended to accept (if not actively support) higher migration levels than voters preferred. This mismatch generated electoral disruption when the issue rose up the agenda—in particular through mobilisation on the radical and far right—and this initially intense public scepticism was gradually being eroded by demographic change. Brexit has fundamentally changed this landscape, triggering major shifts in both public opinion and electoral competition over immigration. In this article, the past politics of immigration in Britain are reviewed, with an explanation of how and why Brexit prompted change. The implications of the new politics of immigration for the upcoming general election and beyond are also considered.
改变态度,改变联盟:英国脱欧前后的移民政治
在英国脱欧前,英国的移民政治格局有一些稳定的特点:公众不喜欢移民,而两个主要政党的政治家都倾向于接受(如果不是积极支持的话)比选民所希望的更高的移民水平。当这一问题被提上议事日程时,这种不匹配会对选举造成干扰--特别是通过激进和极右翼的动员--而这种最初强烈的公众怀疑态度正逐渐被人口结构的变化所削弱。英国脱欧从根本上改变了这一格局,引发了有关移民问题的公众舆论和选举竞争的重大转变。本文回顾了英国过去的移民政治,并解释了英国脱欧如何以及为何会引发变化。文章还探讨了新的移民政治对即将到来的大选及其后的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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