Climate-induced migration in the Global South: an in depth analysis

Abdulaziz I. Almulhim, Gabriela Nagle Alverio, Ayyoob Sharifi, Rajib Shaw, Saleemul Huq, Md Juel Mahmud, Shakil Ahmad, Ismaila Rimi Abubakar
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Abstract

Scientists predict ongoing global climate change to trigger adverse events affecting about 143 million people in the Global South by 2050, leading to various forms of migration and mobility. While existing literature extensively examines climate-induced migration, there is a lack of studies considering the compounding impacts of multiple climate hazards on migration, mobility, and immobility. To address this gap, we conducted a systematic literature review to explore how climate-induced stressors, specifically rising temperatures, water stress and droughts, and floods and sea-level rise, have affected populations in the Global South, leading to voluntary and/or forced migration. Our findings show that these stressors have displaced and profoundly impacted millions of people, resulting in both internal and transboundary migration. Climate-induced stressors often trigger migration through indirect pathways influenced by multiple intervening institutional, political, and socio-economic factors and programmatic and policy gaps. Effectively addressing challenges related to climate-induced migration necessitates adaptation strategies that adequately consider the impacts of these intervening factors while recognizing their differential effects on various socio-demographic groups. We argue that support from Global North countries, including compensation for loss and damage, along with continued institutional and financial support from international non-governmental organizations, is crucial for managing climate-induced migration in the Global South. Without proper planning and adequate resources, migration may escalate and significantly impact human security. The findings of this study can inform climate migration policies and assist adaptation and migration experts in identifying intervention mechanisms and opportunities for people-centered climate solutions.

Abstract Image

全球南部由气候引起的移民:深入分析
科学家预测,到 2050 年,持续的全球气候变化将引发影响全球南部约 1.43 亿人的不利事件,导致各种形式的迁移和流动。虽然现有文献广泛研究了气候引起的移民问题,但缺乏考虑多种气候灾害对移民、流动性和不流动性的复合影响的研究。为了弥补这一不足,我们进行了一次系统的文献综述,探讨气候诱发的压力因素,特别是气温升高、水资源紧张和干旱、洪水和海平面上升,是如何影响全球南部人口,从而导致自愿和/或被迫迁移的。我们的研究结果表明,这些压力因素已使数百万人流离失所,并对他们产生了深远影响,导致了境内和跨境移民。气候诱发的压力因素往往通过间接途径引发人口迁移,而这些间接途径受到多重干预性制度、政治和社会经济因素以及计划和政策差距的影响。要有效应对与气候诱发移民相关的挑战,就必须制定适应战略,充分考虑这些干预因素的影响,同时认识到这些因素对不同社会人口群体的不同影响。我们认为,来自全球北方国家的支持,包括对损失和损害的补偿,以及来自国际非政府组织的持续的机构和财政支持,对于管理全球南方国家由气候引起的移民至关重要。如果没有适当的规划和充足的资源,移徙可能会升级并严重影响人类安全。本研究的结果可为气候移民政策提供参考,并帮助适应和移民专家确定干预机制和机会,从而找到以人为本的气候解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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