Preoperative prediction of high-grade osteosarcoma response to neoadjuvant therapy based on a plain CT radiomics model: A dual-center study

Abstract

Objective

To develop a model combining clinical and radiomics features from CT scans for a preoperative noninvasive evaluation of Huvos grading of neoadjuvant chemotherapy in patients with HOS.

Methods

183 patients from center A and 42 from center B were categorized into training and validation sets. Features derived from radiomics were obtained from unenhanced CT scans.Following dimensionality reduction, the most optimal features were selected and utilized in creating a radiomics model through logistic regression analysis. Integrating clinical features, a composite clinical radiomics model was developed, and a nomogram was constructed. Predictive performance of the model was evaluated using ROC curves and calibration curves. Additionally, decision curve analysis was conducted to assess practical utility of nomogram in clinical settings.

Results

LASSO LR analysis was performed, and finally, three selected image omics features were obtained.Radiomics model yielded AUC values with a good diagnostic effect for both patient sets (AUCs: 0.69 and 0.68, respectively). Clinical models (including sex, age, pre-chemotherapy ALP and LDH levels, new lung metastases within 1 year after surgery, and incidence) performed well in terms of Huvos grade prediction, with an AUC of 0.74 for training set. The AUC for independent validation set stood at 0.70. Notably, the amalgamation of radiomics and clinical features exhibited commendable predictive prowess in training set, registering an AUC of 0.78. This robust performance was subsequently validated in the independent validation set, where the AUC remained high at 0.75. Calibration curves of nomogram showed that the predictions were in good agreement with actual observations.

Conclusion

Combined model can be used for Huvos grading in patients with HOS after preoperative chemotherapy, which is helpful for adjuvant treatment decisions.