Modelling Non-monotone Risk Aversion and Convex Compensation in Incomplete Markets

Yang Liu, Zhenyu Shen
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Abstract

In hedge funds, convex compensation schemes are popular to stimulate a high-profit performance for portfolio managers. In economics, non-monotone risk aversion is proposed to argue that individuals may not be risk-averse when the wealth level is low. Combining these two ingredients, we study the optimal control strategy of the manager in incomplete markets. Generally, we propose a wide class of utility functions, the Piecewise Symmetric Asymptotic Hyperbolic Absolute Risk Aversion (PSAHARA) utility, to model the two ingredients, containing both non-concavity and non-differentiability as some abnormalities. Significantly, we derive an explicit optimal control for the family of PSAHARA utilities. This control is expressed into a unified four-term structure, featuring the asymptotic Merton term and the risk adjustment term. Furthermore, we provide a detailed asymptotic analysis and numerical illustration of the optimal portfolio. We obtain the following key insights: (i) A manager with the PSAHARA utility becomes extremely risk-seeking when his/her wealth level tends to zero; (ii) The optimal investment ratio tends to the Merton constant as the wealth level approaches infinity and the negative Merton constant when the wealth falls to negative infinity, implying that such a manager takes a risk-seeking investment as the wealth falls negatively low; (iii) The convex compensation still induces a great risk-taking behavior in the case that the preference is modeled by SAHARA utility. Finally, we conduct a real-data analysis of the U.S. stock market under the above model and conclude that the PSAHARA portfolio is very risk-seeking and leads to a high return and a high volatility (two-peak Sharpe ratio).
不完全市场中的非单调风险规避和凸补偿建模
在对冲基金中,凸补偿计划很受欢迎,以刺激投资组合经理取得高利润业绩。在经济学中,有人提出了非单调风险规避,认为当财富水平较低时,个人可能不会规避风险。结合这两个因素,我们研究了不完全市场中经理的最优控制策略。一般来说,我们提出了一类广泛的效用函数,即片式对称渐近双曲绝对风险规避(PSAHARA)效用函数,来模拟这两种成分,其中包含了非凹性和非可分性这两种异常现象。我们推导出了 PSAHARAutility 系列的明确最优控制,该控制被表述为统一的四项结构,其中包括渐近默顿项和风险调整项。此外,我们还对最优投资组合进行了详细的渐近分析和数值说明。我们得到了以下重要启示:(i) 当财富水平趋于零时,具有 SAHARA 效用的经理人会变得极度追求风险;(ii) 当财富水平接近无穷大时,最优投资比率趋于默顿常数,而当财富下降到负无穷大时,最优投资比率趋于负默顿常数,这意味着当财富下降到负值时,这样的经理人会进行追求风险的投资;(iii) 在以 SAHARA 效用为偏好模型的情况下,凸补偿仍然会诱发巨大的风险承担行为。最后,我们对上述模型下的美国股市进行了实际数据分析,得出结论:PSAHARA 投资组合具有很强的风险追求性,会带来高回报和高波动性(两峰夏普比率)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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