FAST AND ACCURATE POPULATION FORECASTING WITH TWO-SCALE FRACTAL POPULATION DYNAMICS AND ITS APPLICATION TO POPULATION ECONOMICS

Abstract

One of the major challenges in population economics is accurately predicting population size. Incorrect predictions can lead to ineffective population control policies. Traditional differential models assume a smooth change in population, but this assumption is invalid when measuring population on a small-time scale. To address this change, we developed two-scale fractal population dynamics that can accurately predict population size with minimal experimental data. The Taylor series method is used to reveal the population’s dynamical properties, and the Padé technology is adopted to accelerate the convergence rate.