The Trend of Agricultural Sector Resilience in Indonesia During 2008-2020

A. P. Siregar, D. Darwanto, Irham, J. Mulyo, Jamhari, A. W. Utami, A. Pranyoto, Sugiyarto, H. Perwitasari, G. Wirakusuma, A. W. Widada, Z. Fadhliani, N. P. A. Widjanarko
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Abstract

Purpose: The agricultural sector has an essential role in developing the economy of Indonesia (food, feed, raw materials for industry, contributor to gross domestic product, and labor absorption). For decades, this business field has survived (positive economic growth, while most of the business field faces contraction) during the country’s economic shock (financial crisis, economic setback, and pandemic situation). Thus, this study aims to measure Indonesia’s agricultural sector’s resilience and trends.Research Method: Secondary data have been collected from various sources: The UN Comtrade, World Bank, Central Bureau of Statistics, Ministry of Agriculture, Bank Indonesia, and Investing Coordinating Board of Indonesia. Moreover, principal component analysis is used to determine the index of agricultural sector resilience in Indonesia, while trend analysis is employed to investigate the development of the resilience index from time to time.Findings: The resilience of the agricultural sector varies from time to time. However, it is statistically proven (a = 1%) that resilience tends to increase over the last twelve years.Research Limitations: The variables to determine the agricultural sector resilience in Indonesia consist of trade balance, agricultural terms of trade, total investment, government spending in the agricultural sector, total credit, agricultural workers’ income, and percentage of agricultural workers to total workers. It is suggested that the future study, employed non-agricultural parameters such as environmental conditions and research and development budget to capture a more comprehensive situation on agricultural sector resilience.Originality/ Value: This study contributes to the renewal of the literature on the resilience of the agricultural sector. Moreover, the variables used to represent the parameters of agricultural development in Indonesia may be applied in other countries.
2008-2020 年印度尼西亚农业部门的恢复力趋势
目的:农业部门在印度尼西亚经济发展中发挥着至关重要的作用(食品、饲料、工业原料、国内生产总值贡献者和劳动力吸收)。几十年来,在国家经济受到冲击(金融危机、经济倒退和大流行病)的情况下,农业部门仍能生存下来(经济实现正增长,而大多数行业则面临萎缩)。因此,本研究旨在衡量印尼农业部门的恢复能力和发展趋势:研究方法:从各种渠道收集二手数据:研究方法:从多个来源收集二手数据:联合国商品贸易统计数据库、世界银行、中央统计局、农业部、印尼银行和印尼投资协调委员会。此外,还采用主成分分析法确定印尼农业部门的复原力指数,并采用趋势分析法研究复原力指数在不同时期的发展情况:农业部门的复原力随时间而变化。研究局限性:确定印尼农业部门恢复力的变量包括贸易平衡、农业贸易条件、投资总额、政府在农业部门的支出、信贷总额、农业工人收入以及农业工人占工人总数的百分比。建议今后的研究采用环境条件和研发预算等非农业参数,以更全面地了解农业部门的恢复能力:本研究有助于更新有关农业部门复原力的文献。此外,用于代表印尼农业发展参数的变量也可应用于其他国家。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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