Planning and Policy Direction for Utilization of Renewable Energy in Sustainable Development in Indonesia

Heru Wahyudi, Ukhti Ciptawaty, Arivina Ratih
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Abstract

The Indonesian government through the National Energy Council (DEN) has a target for new renewable energy to be increased, starting from 2025 with a target of 23 percent to 2060 with a target of 66 percent, but ,new renewable energy in Indonesia only increases 0.55 percent per year. Indonesia has great potential, but can the potential be maximized by the government in the direction of a better and environmentally friendly energy policy. This study analyzes the movement of renewable energy and CO2 emissions to the Indonesian economy from 1990-2021, using the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) statistical method by considering short-term and long-term results in the model. The results show that in the long and short-term economy the role of GDP per unit of energy use for the economy is needed and has a positive effect, the role of carbon emissions in the short and long term CO2 has a positive and significant direction, non-renewable energy in the long term and short term is still moving negative and significant, this indicates that renewable energy in Indonesia tends to be low, energy replacement must be carried out slowly and gradually, shock response conditions conclude when GDP energy use and CO2 are affected by a negative shock will disrupt economic development, meanwhile, if there is a negative shock on consumption Renewable energy still tends to be stable and positive for the development of the Indonesian economy.
印度尼西亚在可持续发展中利用可再生能源的规划和政策方向
印尼政府通过国家能源委员会(DEN)制定了增加可再生能源的目标,从 2025 年的 23% 到 2060 年的 66%,但印尼的可再生能源每年仅增长 0.55%。印尼拥有巨大的潜力,但政府能否最大限度地挖掘潜力,制定出更好、更环保的能源政策。本研究采用向量误差修正模型(VECM)统计方法,通过考虑模型中的短期和长期结果,分析了 1990-2021 年间可再生能源和二氧化碳排放对印尼经济的影响。结果表明,在长期和短期经济中,单位能源使用量的 GDP 对经济的作用是需要的,且具有正向作用,碳排放在短期和长期 CO2 的作用具有正向显著性,不可再生能源在长期和短期仍呈负向显著性移动,这表明印尼的可再生能源趋于低水平、能源替代必须缓慢、渐进地进行,冲击响应条件的结论是当 GDP 能源使用量和二氧化碳受到负面冲击时,经济发展将受到干扰,同时,如果消费受到负面冲击,可再生能源对印尼经济的发展仍趋于稳定和积极。
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