Research On Target And Path Planning Of Regional Carbon Peaking And Carbon Neutrality

Fan Yang
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Abstract

To achieve peak carbon neutrality is a broad and profound economic and social systemic change. At present, the economic and social development of our country has entered the stage of accelerating green and low-carbon high-quality development.  In this paper, under no less than three scenarios, the regional dual carbon target is associated with the time node of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, and is associated with the improvement of energy efficiency and the increase of the proportion of non-fossil energy consumption. In various scenarios, if the GDP in 2035 doubles over the base period and quadruples in 2060, the method of calculating carbon emissions is found. If the carbon absorption amount of ecological carbon sink in 2060 is 10% of the carbon emissions of the base period, the calculation method of carbon emissions at this time is found; To find the targets and paths that can determine the GDP, population, energy consumption, energy efficiency and non-fossil energy consumption in 2025, 2030, 2035, 2050 and 2060, and finally complete the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the four major projects.
区域碳调峰与碳中和的目标与路径规划研究
实现碳中和峰值,是一场广泛而深刻的经济社会系统性变革。当前,我国经济社会发展已进入加快绿色低碳高质量发展阶段。 本文在不少于三种情景下,将区域双碳目标与碳峰值、碳中和的时间节点相关联,与提高能源利用效率、提高非化石能源消费比重相关联。在各种情景下,如果 2035 年的 GDP 比基期翻一番,2060 年翻两番,就可以找到碳排放的计算方法。如果 2060 年生态碳汇的碳吸收量为基期碳排放量的 10%,则找到此时碳排放量的计算方法;找到能够确定 2025 年、2030 年、2035 年、2050 年、2060 年 GDP、人口、能耗、能效、非化石能源消费的目标和路径,最终完成四大工程的定性定量分析。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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