Comprehensive Analysis of Deterministic and Stochastic Eco-Epidemic Models Incorporating Fear, Refuge, Supplementary Resources, and Selective Predation Effects

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q2 MATHEMATICS, APPLIED
Sasanka Shekhar Maity, Pankaj Kumar Tiwari, Samares Pal
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Abstract

In this investigation, we delve into the dynamics of an ecoepidemic model, considering the intertwined influences of fear, refuge-seeking behavior, and alternative food sources for predators with selective predation. We extend our model to incorporate the impact of fluctuating environmental noise on system dynamics. The deterministic model undergoes thorough scrutiny to ensure the positivity and boundedness of solutions, with equilibria derived and their stability properties meticulously examined. Furthermore, we explore the potential for Hopf bifurcation within the system dynamics. In the stochastic counterpart, we prioritize discussions on the existence of a globally positive solution. Through simulations, we unveil the stabilizing effect of the fear factor on susceptible prey reproduction, juxtaposed against the destabilizing roles of prey refuge behavior and disease prevalence intensity. Notably, when disease prevalence intensity is too low, the infection can be eradicated from the ecosystem. Our deterministic analysis reveals a complex interplay of factors: the system destabilizes initially but then stabilizes as the fear factor suppressing disease prevalence intensifies, or as predators exhibit a stronger preference for infected prey over susceptible ones, or as predators are provided with more alternative food sources. Moreover, for the stochastic system, the oscillations tend to cluster around the coexistence equilibrium of the corresponding deterministic model when white noise intensity is low. However, with increasing white noise intensity, oscillation amplitudes escalate. Critically, very high levels of white noise can lead to the eradication of infection from the ecosystem.

Abstract Image

包含恐惧、避难所、补充资源和选择性捕食效应的确定性和随机性生态流行病模型的综合分析
在这项研究中,我们深入研究了生态流行病模型的动态,考虑了恐惧、寻求庇护行为和捕食者选择性捕食的替代食物来源等因素的交织影响。我们对模型进行了扩展,纳入了波动环境噪声对系统动态的影响。我们对确定性模型进行了彻底审查,以确保解的正向性和有界性,并推导出均衡点,对其稳定性进行了细致研究。此外,我们还探索了系统动力学中霍普夫分岔的可能性。在随机对应中,我们优先讨论全局正解的存在。通过模拟,我们揭示了恐惧因子对易感猎物繁殖的稳定作用,以及猎物避难行为和疾病流行强度的不稳定作用。值得注意的是,当疾病流行强度过低时,感染可以从生态系统中根除。我们的确定性分析揭示了各种因素之间复杂的相互作用:系统最初会不稳定,但随着抑制疾病流行的恐惧因素加剧,或者捕食者对受感染猎物的偏好强于对易感猎物的偏好,或者捕食者获得了更多的替代食物来源,系统就会稳定下来。此外,就随机系统而言,当白噪声强度较低时,振荡往往聚集在相应的确定性模型的共存均衡点附近。然而,随着白噪声强度的增加,振荡幅度会逐渐增大。重要的是,极高的白噪声会导致生态系统中的感染被消灭。
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来源期刊
Acta Applicandae Mathematicae
Acta Applicandae Mathematicae 数学-应用数学
CiteScore
2.80
自引率
6.20%
发文量
77
审稿时长
16.2 months
期刊介绍: Acta Applicandae Mathematicae is devoted to the art and techniques of applying mathematics and the development of new, applicable mathematical methods. Covering a large spectrum from modeling to qualitative analysis and computational methods, Acta Applicandae Mathematicae contains papers on different aspects of the relationship between theory and applications, ranging from descriptive papers on actual applications meeting contemporary mathematical standards to proofs of new and deep theorems in applied mathematics.
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