Modeling the Contribution of Network Human Capital to Economic Dynamics and Innovation Activity

N. Gabdullin, I. Kirshin
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Abstract

Purpose of the study. This article analyzes the contribution of network human capital to economic dynamics and innovation through econometric modeling based on data for 70 countries for 2020–2021. The main goal of the study is to analyze the relationship between network human capital, economic development and innovation activity.Materials and methods. The present study is based on feedback methodology. On the one hand, the development of human capital is a strategic factor in sustainable economic development. On the other hand, economic resources that increase under development conditions are invested in human capital. The authors have developed a two-stage method for assessing the contribution of network human capital to economic dynamics and the development of innovation. At the first stage, the influence of human capital on the factors of innovative development, assessed by the indexes of the Global Innovation Index (GII), was assessed. At the second stage, an assessment of the contribution of these factors to GDP per employee was modeled. The method was implemented through the development of econometric models that allow assessing the contributions of network human capital to economic dynamics based on the profile of the national economy and assessing the dependence of GDP per employee on the employment structure of the national economy.Results. Based on the results of econometric modeling, the impact of human capital accumulation on the innovative development of the economy was assessed. Statistically significant relationships between: an increase in human capital and the acceleration of the pace of development of new technologies and the knowledge economy; development of creative activity; increasing innovative ties have been identified and substantiated. Based on the modeling results, we empirically assessed, firstly, the contribution of network human capital to GDP per employee; secondly, the increasing contribution of new industries to GDP per employee and the decreasing contribution of traditional industries (using the example of agriculture); thirdly, the more significant contribution of those employed in IT compared to the contribution of those employed in education and healthcare to GDP per employee.Conclusion. The results of the modeling proved that network human capital influences economic growth and innovative development through two mechanisms. Firstly, network human capital is directly involved in the production processes of the platform economy as a factor of production. In this sense, the accumulation of network human capital directly increases aggregate output. Secondly, the accumulation of network human capital has a positive effect on classical factors of production and, in particular, contributes to technological progress.
模拟网络人力资本对经济动态和创新活动的贡献
研究目的。本文基于 2020-2021 年 70 个国家的数据,通过计量经济学模型分析网络人力资本对经济活力和创新的贡献。研究的主要目的是分析网络人力资本、经济发展和创新活动之间的关系。本研究采用反馈法。一方面,人力资本开发是经济可持续发展的战略因素。另一方面,在发展条件下增加的经济资源会投资于人力资本。作者开发了一种分两个阶段评估网络人力资本对经济活力和创新发展贡献的方法。在第一阶段,通过全球创新指数(GII)的各项指标评估人力资本对创新发展因素的影响。在第二阶段,对这些因素对雇员人均 GDP 的贡献进行了模型化评估。该方法是通过建立计量经济学模型实现的,这些模型可以根据国民经济概况评估网络人力资本对经济活力的贡献,并评估人均国内生产总值对国民经济就业结构的依赖性。根据计量经济学模型的结果,评估了人力资本积累对经济创新发展的影响。从统计学角度看,人力资本的增加与新技术和知识经济发展速度的加快、创造性活动的发展、创新联系的增加之间存在重要关系。根据建模结果,我们进行了实证评估:第一,网络人力资本对雇员人均 GDP 的贡献;第二,新兴产业对雇员人均 GDP 的贡献越来越大,而传统产业的贡献越来越小(以农业为例);第三,与教育和医疗行业的雇员对雇员人均 GDP 的贡献相比,信息技术行业的雇员对雇员人均 GDP 的贡献更大。建模结果证明,网络人力资本通过两种机制影响经济增长和创新发展。首先,网络人力资本作为生产要素直接参与平台经济的生产过程。从这个意义上说,网络人力资本的积累直接增加了总产出。其次,网络人力资本的积累对传统生产要素具有积极影响,特别是有助于技术进步。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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