LB-SCAM: a learning-based method for efficient large-scale sensitivity analysis and tuning of the Single Column Atmosphere Model (SCAM)

Jiaxu Guo, Juepeng Zheng, Yidan Xu, Haohuan Fu, Wei Xue, Lanning Wang, Lin Gan, Ping Gao, W. Wan, Xianwei Wu, Zhitao Zhang, Liang Hu, Gaochao Xu, Xilong Che
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Abstract

Abstract. The single-column model, with its advantages of low computational cost and fast execution speed, can assist users in gaining a more intuitive understanding of the impact of parameters on the simulated results of climate models. It plays a crucial role in the study of parameterization schemes, allowing for a more direct exploration of the influence of parameters on climate model simulations. In this paper, we employed various methods to conduct sensitivity analyses on the 11 parameters of the Single Column Atmospheric Model (SCAM). We explored their impact on output variables such as precipitation, temperature, humidity, and cloud cover, among others, across five test cases. To further expedite experimentation, we utilized machine learning methods to train surrogate models for the aforementioned cases. Additionally, three-parameter joint perturbation experiments were conducted based on these surrogate models to validate the combined parameter effects on the results. Subsequently, targeting the sensitive parameter combinations identified from the aforementioned experiments, we further conducted parameter tuning for the corresponding test cases to minimize the discrepancy between the results of SCAM and observational data. Our proposed method not only enhances model performance but also expedites parameter tuning speed, demonstrating good generality at the same time.
LB-SCAM:一种基于学习的方法,用于对单柱大气模型(SCAM)进行高效的大规模敏感性分析和调整
摘要单列模式具有计算成本低、执行速度快等优点,可以帮助用户更直观地了解参数对气候模式模拟结果的影响。它在参数化方案研究中起着至关重要的作用,可以更直接地探索参数对气候模式模拟结果的影响。在本文中,我们采用多种方法对单柱大气模式(SCAM)的 11 个参数进行了敏感性分析。我们在五个测试案例中探讨了这些参数对降水、温度、湿度和云量等输出变量的影响。为进一步加快实验进程,我们利用机器学习方法为上述案例训练了代用模型。此外,我们还基于这些代理模型进行了三参数联合扰动实验,以验证组合参数对结果的影响。随后,针对上述实验中发现的敏感参数组合,我们进一步对相应的测试案例进行了参数调整,以尽量减少 SCAM 结果与观测数据之间的差异。我们提出的方法不仅提高了模型性能,而且加快了参数调整速度,同时还体现了良好的通用性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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