Mathematical Models of Human Papillomavirus Transmission with Vaccination

Maria Lobo, Maria Machado, Waltrudis Adelia Asa
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Abstract

The human papillomavirus (HPV) is one of the viruses that can cause cervical cancer. However, vaccination can prevent such a virus. The spread of the virus in cervical cancer can be modelled in the SI model, however, such a model has not produced accurate results. The development and extension of the model into S1S2IRC, with S1 denoting the population aged 0–10 years and S2 representing the population over 10 years, which is susceptible to HPV infection. The results produce disease-free and endemic equilibrium points. The analysis of the equilibrium points yields that the disease-free equilibrium point will be asymptotically stable for R0 1 and R0 1 for the endemic equilibrium point. The results indicate that the higher the probability of humans being prone to the HPV virus, the greater the chance of these individuals being infected by the virus. Therefore, vaccination is required to protect against the virus infection.   
接种疫苗后人类乳头瘤病毒传播的数学模型
人类乳头瘤病毒(HPV)是可导致宫颈癌的病毒之一。不过,接种疫苗可以预防这种病毒。宫颈癌病毒的传播可以用 SI 模型来模拟,但这种模型并没有得出准确的结果。将该模型发展和扩展为 S1S2IRC,其中 S1 表示 0-10 岁的人群,S2 表示 10 岁以上的人群,这些人群易受 HPV 感染。结果产生了无疾病和地方病平衡点。对平衡点的分析表明,无疾病平衡点在 R0 1 和 R0 1 时将趋于稳定,而地方病平衡点在 R0 1 时将趋于稳定。结果表明,人类感染人乳头瘤病毒的概率越高,这些人被病毒感染的几率就越大。因此,需要接种疫苗来防止病毒感染。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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