The International Capital Flows and Domestic Savings–domestic Investment Nexus: A Comparative Evidence Between Heterogeneous Developing Regions

Shreya Pal
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Abstract

Drawing inspiration from Feldstein and Horioka’s (1980) (FH) puzzle, our study elucidates the impact of remittances and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on domestic savings and investment in two disparate yet globalized developing regions: Latin America and the Caribbean and South Asia. Utilizing an extensive dataset spanning from 1984 to 2021 and employing diverse methodologies, including Dynamic System generalized method of moment, Driscoll–Kraay standard error, fully modified ordinary least squares, and dynamic ordinary least squares, our findings reveal that remittances exert a positive influence on both domestic investment and savings across both regions. However, South Asia predominantly directs remittance inflows towards investment, while Latin America and the Caribbean exhibit a propensity towards saving these funds. As for FDI, the primary developing region predominantly channels these funds into investment, whereas the lower region prioritizes savings. The impact of control variables manifests varied effects across both regions. Ultimately, our study underscores the pivotal role of foreign remittances in supporting investment and savings, underscoring the profound influence of economic growth on these dynamics. This accentuates the imperative for governments to proactively allocate financial resources to optimize economic growth and fortify financial frameworks. Moreover, focused strategies are indispensable for adeptly managing foreign inflows while navigating external shocks such as international repayments, external debt, and aid. Additionally, enhancements in monetary and fiscal policies are imperative to sustain competitive interest rates and foster stable macroeconomic conditions, thereby fostering conducive environments for both public and private domestic savings. JEL Classification: F24; F3; P33; C23; O18
国际资本流动与国内储蓄-国内投资的关联:异质发展中地区之间的比较证据
从 Feldstein 和 Horioka (1980) (FH) 之谜中汲取灵感,我们的研究阐明了汇款和外国直接投资(FDI)对两个不同但全球化的发展中地区的国内储蓄和投资的影响:拉丁美洲和加勒比以及南亚。我们利用从 1984 年到 2021 年的大量数据集,并采用了多种方法,包括动态系统广义矩法、Driscoll-Kraay 标准误差、完全修正的普通最小二乘法和动态普通最小二乘法,研究结果表明,汇款对这两个地区的国内投资和储蓄都产生了积极影响。不过,南亚主要将流入的汇款用于投资,而拉丁美洲和加勒比地区则倾向于将这些资金储蓄起来。至于外国直接投资,初级发展中地区主要将这些资金用于投资,而低级发展中地区则优先考虑储蓄。控制变量对两个地区的影响各不相同。最终,我们的研究强调了外国汇款在支持投资和储蓄方面的关键作用,突出了经济增长对这些动态的深刻影响。这突出表明,政府必须积极主动地分配金融资源,优化经济增长,强化金融框架。此外,在应对国际还款、外债和援助等外部冲击的同时,有针对性的战略对于妥善管理外资流入也是不可或缺的。此外,必须加强货币和财政政策,以维持有竞争力的利率,促进稳定的宏观经济条件,从而为国内公共和私人储蓄创造有利环境。JEL 分类:F24; F3; P33F24;F3;P33;C23;O18
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