{"title":"From Fields to Futures: Connectedness Among Edible Oil and Oilseeds- Where Soybean Leads, Others Follow","authors":"Nilotpal Sarma, Priyanshu Tiwari, Prabina Rajib","doi":"10.1007/s10690-024-09458-7","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The primary purpose of this paper is to analyze the connectedness between edible oils and oilseeds from various international commodity markets and the U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU). The TVP-VAR method has been adopted in this paper to analyze the inter-commodity connectedness and spillover relationships among them. We also study how the effect on the price of one edible oil or oilseed affects other edible oils in the international markets. For this purpose, daily closing prices of near-month contracts of 6 edible oil commodities and the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index have been considered for a period that starts from January 2013 to April 2023. Results show a moderate level of connectedness among the edible oil and oilseed commodities; however, connectedness increases during times of economic or geopolitical crisis. Results also show that soybean is the most dominant commodity in the edible oil and oilseed commodity nexus, and rapeseed meal is the commodity with the lowest transmission power.</p>","PeriodicalId":54095,"journal":{"name":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.5000,"publicationDate":"2024-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Asia-Pacific Financial Markets","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10690-024-09458-7","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The primary purpose of this paper is to analyze the connectedness between edible oils and oilseeds from various international commodity markets and the U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU). The TVP-VAR method has been adopted in this paper to analyze the inter-commodity connectedness and spillover relationships among them. We also study how the effect on the price of one edible oil or oilseed affects other edible oils in the international markets. For this purpose, daily closing prices of near-month contracts of 6 edible oil commodities and the Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) index have been considered for a period that starts from January 2013 to April 2023. Results show a moderate level of connectedness among the edible oil and oilseed commodities; however, connectedness increases during times of economic or geopolitical crisis. Results also show that soybean is the most dominant commodity in the edible oil and oilseed commodity nexus, and rapeseed meal is the commodity with the lowest transmission power.
期刊介绍：
The current remarkable growth in the Asia-Pacific financial markets is certain to continue. These markets are expected to play a further important role in the world capital markets for investment and risk management. In accordance with this development, Asia-Pacific Financial Markets (formerly Financial Engineering and the Japanese Markets), the official journal of the Japanese Association of Financial Econometrics and Engineering (JAFEE), is expected to provide an international forum for researchers and practitioners in academia, industry, and government, who engage in empirical and/or theoretical research into the financial markets. We invite submission of quality papers on all aspects of finance and financial engineering.
Here we interpret the term ''financial engineering'' broadly enough to cover such topics as financial time series, portfolio analysis, global asset allocation, trading strategy for investment, optimization methods, macro monetary economic analysis and pricing models for various financial assets including derivatives We stress that purely theoretical papers, as well as empirical studies that use Asia-Pacific market data, are welcome.
Officially cited as: Asia-Pac Financ Markets
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