Charting the Course: Insights into Neuroendocrine Tumor Dynamics in the United States.

Abstract

Objective: To explore changing trends and characteristics in neuroendocrine tumors (NETs) epidemiology, focusing on demographics, clinical aspects, and survival, including the impact of social determinants of health (SDOH) on outcomes.

Background: The escalating incidence and prevalence of NETs underscore the pressing need for updated epidemiologic data to reveal the evolving landscape of this condition. Access to current information is imperative for informing clinical strategies and public health initiatives targeting NETs.

Methods: A retrospective, population-based study analyzed NET patient data from 1975 to 2020, using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER 8, 12, 18) program. We calculated annual age-adjusted incidence, prevalence, and 5-year overall survival (OS) rates. Survival trends from 2000 to 2019 were examined, employing the Fine-Gray model to evaluate cancer-specific mortality.

Results: NETs' age-adjusted incidence rate quadrupled from 1.5 per 100,000 in 1975 to 6.0 per 100,000 in 2020. A decline in incidence occurred from 6.8 per 100,000 in 2019 to 6.0 per 100,000 in 2020. All-cause survival multivariable analysis demonstrated high grade (HR: 2.95, 95% CI: 2.63-3.09, P <0.001), single patients (HR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.45-1.54, P <0.001), and Black patients (HR: 1.17, 95% CI:1.13-1.22, P <0.001) all had worse survival than their controls.

Conclusions: Our study shows a steady increase in NETs incidence until 2019, with a decline in 2020. Understanding the reasons behind this trend is vital for improved management and public health planning. Further research should focus on the factors driving these changes to enhance our understanding of NET epidemiology.