Data Science Has Exploded Across the Industry Over the Past 75 Years

Adam Wilson
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Abstract

In 1957, the Journal of Petroleum Technology published an article titled “Application of Large Computers to Reservoir Engineering Problems.” That was the first reference in JPT to what became known as supercomputers. The high-speed computers used in the 1957 article were capable of performing 60 million operations in about 3½ hours. They were proposed to analyze the thorny problem of multiphase flow. “It presently appears that the large computer will be required to investigate multiphase flow and to predict the flow behavior of oil and gas reservoirs considering two- and three-space dimensions.” Now, 67 years later, supercomputer speeds are measured in trillions of operations per second, and investigating multiphase flow is just one of the many uses. This extreme growth in speed has given rise to artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), which has found its way into almost every corner of the petroleum industry. The Society of Petroleum Engineers and JPT has kept up with the digital advances in the industry, holding countless conferences, symposia, and other meetings centered on the digital aspects of the industry and recently creating the Data Science and Engineering Analytics (DSEA) technical discipline. In 2019, SPE launched the Data Science and Digital Engineering in Upstream Oil and Gas online publication. Four leaders in the oil and gas digital space shared their views on the current state of data science in the industry and the future of the discipline. Sushma Bhan, currently on the board of directors for Ikon Science, is SPE’s Technical Director for DSEA. Before joining Ikon, she worked for Shell for 32 years, eventually rising to the role of chief data officer for subsurface and wells. “My journey in the oil and gas industry began in 1988, when I joined Shell’s Production Computing Assisted Operations team as a programmer analyst,” Bhan said. “During my time there, I gained valuable exposure to field production operations and developed a deep understanding of real‑time data.” Jim Crompton, who claims he is mostly retired, is an associate professor of petroleum engineering at the Colorado School of Mines, a faculty fellow at the school’s Payne Institute for Public Policy, and director of Reflections Data Consulting. “My academic career started out in exploration geophysics, so my first introduction to engineering analytics came from processing seismic data at Chevron Geophysical Company in Houston,” Crompton said. “I studied earthquake seismology in graduate school, but, when I graduated, I learned the oil and gas industry paid a lot more than the USGS did, so my career goals changed.” Shahab D. Mohaghegh is a professor at West Virginia University and the president of Intelligent Solutions. “Since I started working for the petroleum industry throughout the world using artificial intelligence in 2000, I was able to work with actual data (field measurements) that has been saved by all the companies,” Mohaghegh said. “Working with actual data using AI provided several technologies that have been incredibly fantastic compared to what we have done in the past.” Pushpesh Sharma, the chair of the DSEA Technical Section, holds a PhD degree in chemical engineering from the University of Houston and is senior product manager for Aspen Technology. “Till a few years ago, the focus was on proving the efficacy of data science/machine learning methods for energy use cases,” Sharma said. “However, in recent years, the concerns are around large-scale deployment, maintenance, and the black‑box nature of ML models. Because of that, I started seeing increased focus on the deployment, explainability, and trust of ML models.”
过去 75 年间,数据科学在整个行业中迅猛发展
1957 年,《石油技术杂志》发表了一篇题为 "大型计算机在储层工程问题中的应用 "的文章。这是《石油技术杂志》首次提及后来被称为超级计算机的计算机。1957 年文章中使用的高速计算机能够在大约 3 个半小时内执行 6000 万次运算。它们被提议用于分析棘手的多相流问题。"目前看来,需要大型计算机来研究多相流,并预测考虑到二维和三维空间的油气藏流动行为"。67 年后的今天,超级计算机的运算速度已达到每秒万亿次,而研究多相流只是超级计算机的众多用途之一。速度的极速增长催生了人工智能(AI)和机器学习(ML),它们几乎进入了石油行业的每一个角落。石油工程师学会和日本石油学会一直紧跟行业的数字化进步,围绕行业的数字化方面举办了无数次会议、研讨会和其他会议,最近还创建了数据科学与工程分析(DSEA)技术学科。2019 年,SPE 推出了《石油天然气上游数据科学与数字工程》在线出版物。石油和天然气数字领域的四位领导者分享了他们对行业数据科学现状和学科未来的看法。Sushma Bhan 目前是 Ikon Science 的董事会成员,也是 SPE DSEA 的技术总监。在加入 Ikon 之前,她在壳牌公司工作了 32 年,最终升任地下和油井首席数据官。"Bhan 说:"我的油气行业之旅始于 1988 年,当时我加入壳牌的生产计算辅助运营团队,担任程序员分析师。"在那里工作期间,我获得了宝贵的油田生产运营经验,并对实时数据有了深刻的理解"。吉姆-克朗普顿(Jim Crompton)自称大部分时间已经退休,他是科罗拉多矿业学院石油工程系副教授、该校佩恩公共政策研究所(Payne Institute for Public Policy)教员研究员以及 Reflections Data Consulting 公司总监。"Crompton 说:"我的学术生涯是从勘探地球物理学开始的,所以我对工程分析的第一次接触是在休斯顿雪佛龙地球物理公司处理地震数据时。"我在研究生院学习的是地震学,但毕业时,我了解到石油和天然气行业的薪酬比美国地质调查局高得多,因此我的职业目标发生了改变。Shahab D. Mohaghegh 是西弗吉尼亚大学的教授,也是 Intelligent Solutions 公司的总裁。"Mohaghegh 说:"自从 2000 年我开始利用人工智能为世界各地的石油行业工作以来,我就能够利用所有公司保存的实际数据(现场测量数据)开展工作。"使用人工智能处理实际数据提供了多项技术,与我们过去所做的相比,这些技术令人难以置信地神奇。"DSEA 技术分会主席 Pushpesh Sharma 拥有休斯顿大学化学工程博士学位,是 Aspen Technology 公司的高级产品经理。"直到几年前,人们还在关注如何证明数据科学/机器学习方法在能源应用案例中的有效性,"夏尔马说。"然而,近年来,人们开始关注大规模部署、维护以及 ML 模型的黑箱性质。正因为如此,我开始看到人们越来越关注 ML 模型的部署、可解释性和可信度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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